BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Neil Magny vs.
Michael Chiesa

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

24-13-0 Neil Magny · UFC
15-7-0 Michael Chiesa · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

24-13-0
UFC record
15-7-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
39
AgeΔ 1 yrs
38
6'3"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
80"
ReachΔ 5"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
7.8
Layoff (months)Δ 3.5 mo
4.3
LWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Michael Chiesa hunts takedowns — 3.11 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Michael Chiesa is a submission threat — 1.04 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Neil Magny hunts takedowns — 2.17 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Neil Magny

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2413
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 24 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 17-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Michael Chiesa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 157
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.4 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15063.40/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
4092.02/min · norm 3.17
10802.44/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
3501.73/min · norm 3.06
46.9%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
40.7%norm 44.9%
51.8%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
58.0%norm 55.25%
20.07/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.07/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Neil Magny

Distance 74.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 14.0% (norm 8.1%)

Michael Chiesa

Distance 75.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 14.7% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Neil Magny

Head 81.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.5% (norm 8.4%)

Michael Chiesa

Head 85.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 2.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Magny L/AAccWelterweight med Chiesa L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 883 / 2407 36.7% 38.6% 249 / 760 32.8% 38.6%
In the clinch 270 / 354 76.3% 67.8% 65 / 98 66.3% 67.8%
On the ground 353 / 451 78.3% 67.2% 95 / 148 64.2% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 1067 / 2629 40.6% 37.2% 299 / 859 34.8% 37.2%
To the body 282 / 374 75.4% 70.7% 88 / 123 71.5% 70.7%
To the legs 157 / 209 75.1% 82.9% 22 / 24 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Magny L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Chiesa L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 778 / 1776 43.8% 39.0% 262 / 712 36.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 98 / 171 57.3% 68.9% 48 / 68 70.6% 68.9%
On the ground 204 / 293 69.6% 68.0% 40 / 53 75.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 626 / 1674 37.4% 35.6% 181 / 605 29.9% 35.6%
To the body 164 / 241 68.0% 69.6% 88 / 127 69.3% 69.6%
To the legs 290 / 325 89.2% 82.1% 81 / 101 80.2% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

6439.8% acc · 2.17/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
4247.7% acc · 3.11/15 · norm 1.27
6255.4% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2765.9% def · norm 63.9%
94:3821.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
81:0340.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
141:524:48 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
37:002:44 per 15 · norm 3:15
80.27/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
141.04/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Magny has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.