BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Neil Magny vs.
Jon Manley

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

24-13-0 Neil Magny · UFC
0-1-0 Jon Manley · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

24-13-0
UFC record
0-1-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
39
AgeΔ 1 yrs
40
6'3"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
80"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
7.8
Layoff (months)Δ 153.6 mo
161.4
LWWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
L
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jon Manley owns the mat — in control 36% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Neil Magny hunts takedowns — 2.17 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Jon Manley's takedown defense leaks — 20% stopped, vs a 64% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Neil Magny

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 2413
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 24 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 17-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500

Jon Manley

Full career not yet synced for Jon Manley — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15063.40/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
171.13/min · norm 3.17
10802.44/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
654.33/min · norm 3.06
46.9%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
20.0%norm 44.9%
51.8%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
45.8%norm 55.25%
20.07/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Neil Magny

Distance 74.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 14.0% (norm 8.1%)

Jon Manley

Distance 90.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.4% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Neil Magny

Head 81.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.5% (norm 8.4%)

Jon Manley

Head 85.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Magny L/AAccWelterweight med Manley L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 883 / 2407 36.7% 38.6% 12 / 77 15.6% 38.6%
In the clinch 270 / 354 76.3% 67.8% 5 / 8 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 353 / 451 78.3% 67.2% 0 / 0 too few to rate 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 1067 / 2629 40.6% 37.2% 12 / 73 16.4% 37.2%
To the body 282 / 374 75.4% 70.7% 2 / 7 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 157 / 209 75.1% 82.9% 3 / 5 too few to rate 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Magny L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Manley L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 778 / 1776 43.8% 39.0% 33 / 69 47.8% 39.0%
In the clinch 98 / 171 57.3% 68.9% 22 / 33 66.7% 68.9%
On the ground 204 / 293 69.6% 68.0% 10 / 18 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 626 / 1674 37.4% 35.6% 42 / 93 45.2% 35.6%
To the body 164 / 241 68.0% 69.6% 15 / 19 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 290 / 325 89.2% 82.1% 8 / 8 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

6439.8% acc · 2.17/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
17.7% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.27
6255.4% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
120.0% def · norm 63.9%
94:3821.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
5:2836.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
141:524:48 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
5:065:06 per 15 · norm 3:15
80.27/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Magny has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.