BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nate Marquardt vs.
Kelvin Gastelum

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

13-12-0 Nate Marquardt · UFC
14-11-0 (1 NC) Kelvin Gastelum · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

13-12-0
UFC record
14-11-0 (1 NC)
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
47.3
AgeΔ 12.5 yrs
34.8
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
5'9"
74"
ReachΔ 3"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
104.8
Layoff (months)Δ 101 mo
3.8
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Nate Marquardt carries real power — 0.75 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Nate Marquardt is a submission threat — 0.88 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Kelvin Gastelum carries real power — 0.43 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nate Marquardt

Full career not yet synced for Nate Marquardt — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Kelvin Gastelum

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1411
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.01 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 12-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6352.65/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
12693.65/min · norm 3.25
4962.07/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
12223.52/min · norm 3.20
51.4%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
42.4%norm 47.4%
58.3%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
57.3%norm 53.8%
120.75/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
100.43/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nate Marquardt

Distance 71.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 12.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 16.1% (norm 10.3%)

Kelvin Gastelum

Distance 90.0% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 4.3% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nate Marquardt

Head 73.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 13.3% (norm 8.4%)

Kelvin Gastelum

Head 80.8% (norm 78.0%) · Body 10.9% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 8.3% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Marquardt L/AAccMiddleweight med Gastelum L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 393 / 884 44.5% 40.5% 1082 / 2695 40.1% 40.5%
In the clinch 109 / 153 71.2% 70.3% 109 / 171 63.7% 70.3%
On the ground 133 / 199 66.8% 69.1% 78 / 129 60.5% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 374 / 906 41.3% 38.9% 824 / 2419 34.1% 38.9%
To the body 124 / 165 75.2% 71.7% 233 / 326 71.5% 71.7%
To the legs 137 / 165 83.0% 83.3% 212 / 250 84.8% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Marquardt L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Gastelum L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 357 / 972 36.7% 39.5% 1052 / 2613 40.3% 39.5%
In the clinch 57 / 106 53.8% 70.9% 102 / 153 66.7% 70.9%
On the ground 82 / 112 73.2% 69.0% 68 / 97 70.1% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 311 / 937 33.2% 37.9% 768 / 2234 34.4% 37.9%
To the body 85 / 125 68.0% 71.3% 274 / 406 67.5% 71.3%
To the legs 100 / 128 78.1% 82.1% 180 / 223 80.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3358.9% acc · 2.07/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
2435.3% acc · 1.04/15 · norm 1.42
4271.2% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
5560.4% def · norm 63.1%
66:3727.8% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
47:1513.6% of cage time · norm 19.75%
38:362:25 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
51:252:13 per 15 · norm 3:00
140.88/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
20.09/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gastelum has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.