BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nate Marquardt vs.
Jake Ellenberger

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

13-12-0 Nate Marquardt · UFC
10-11-0 Jake Ellenberger · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

13-12-0
UFC record
10-11-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
47.3
AgeΔ 5.9 yrs
41.4
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
5'9"
74"
ReachΔ 3"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
104.8
Layoff (months)Δ 9.4 mo
95.4
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jake Ellenberger carries real power — 0.98 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Nate Marquardt carries real power — 0.75 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Nate Marquardt is a submission threat — 0.88 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nate Marquardt

Full career not yet synced for Nate Marquardt — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Jake Ellenberger

Full career not yet synced for Jake Ellenberger — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6352.65/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
4172.47/min · norm 3.17
4962.07/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
4782.83/min · norm 3.06
51.4%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
39.3%norm 44.9%
58.3%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
60.7%norm 55.25%
120.75/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
110.98/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nate Marquardt

Distance 71.5% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 12.4% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 16.1% (norm 10.3%)

Jake Ellenberger

Distance 74.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 13.2% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nate Marquardt

Head 73.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 13.3% (norm 8.4%)

Jake Ellenberger

Head 86.0% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Marquardt L/AAccMiddleweight med Ellenberger L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 393 / 884 44.5% 40.5% 259 / 791 32.7% 38.6%
In the clinch 109 / 153 71.2% 70.3% 83 / 129 64.3% 67.8%
On the ground 133 / 199 66.8% 69.1% 75 / 140 53.6% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 374 / 906 41.3% 38.9% 307 / 912 33.7% 37.2%
To the body 124 / 165 75.2% 71.7% 72 / 101 71.3% 70.7%
To the legs 137 / 165 83.0% 83.3% 38 / 47 80.9% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Marquardt L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Ellenberger L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 357 / 972 36.7% 39.5% 338 / 1002 33.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 57 / 106 53.8% 70.9% 73 / 112 65.2% 68.9%
On the ground 82 / 112 73.2% 69.0% 67 / 102 65.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 311 / 937 33.2% 37.9% 314 / 986 31.8% 35.6%
To the body 85 / 125 68.0% 71.3% 88 / 137 64.2% 69.6%
To the legs 100 / 128 78.1% 82.1% 76 / 93 81.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3358.9% acc · 2.07/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
2347.9% acc · 2.04/15 · norm 1.27
4271.2% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2586.2% def · norm 63.9%
66:3727.8% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
34:4320.5% of cage time · norm 18.5%
38:362:25 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
19:501:45 per 15 · norm 3:15
140.88/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
40.36/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Marquardt has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.