BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nate Maness vs.
Umar Nurmagomedov

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-2-0 Nate Maness · UFC
8-1-0 Umar Nurmagomedov · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-2-0
UFC record
8-1-0
Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
35.1
AgeΔ 4.5 yrs
30.6
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
72"
ReachΔ 3"
69"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
25.7
Layoff (months)Δ 19.4 mo
6.3
WWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Umar Nurmagomedov hunts takedowns — 4.03 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Nate Maness carries real power — 0.45 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.18 Flyweight norm.
Umar Nurmagomedov owns the mat — in control 39% of cage time, vs a 17% Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nate Maness

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 52
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.22 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 19 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Umar Nurmagomedov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 101
Tier 3 — regional circuit 100

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.75 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 9 finish wins over 21 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2093.14/min · norm 3.49
Sig. strikes landed
4893.86/min · norm 3.52
2583.88/min · norm 3.24
Sig. strikes absorbed
2361.86/min · norm 3.58
50.2%norm 44.6%
Striking accuracy
56.5%norm 43.4%
42.5%norm 56.4%
Striking defense
61.2%norm 56.6%
20.45/15 · norm 0.18
Knockdowns
10.12/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nate Maness

Distance 74.5% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 12.5% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 13.0% (norm 7.3%)

Umar Nurmagomedov

Distance 75.5% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 4.5% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 20.0% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nate Maness

Head 83.9% (norm 75.9%) · Body 12.7% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 3.4% (norm 9.3%)

Umar Nurmagomedov

Head 76.4% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.2% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Maness L/AAccFlyweight med Nurmagomedov L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 126 / 310 40.6% 40.0% 329 / 654 50.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 40 / 52 76.9% 70.4% 29 / 39 74.4% 68.7%
On the ground 43 / 54 79.6% 69.7% 131 / 173 75.7% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 154 / 349 44.1% 37.6% 334 / 662 50.5% 34.9%
To the body 42 / 53 79.2% 68.5% 99 / 140 70.7% 66.8%
To the legs 13 / 14 too few to rate 80.0% 56 / 64 87.5% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Flyweight: 73 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Maness L/AOpp accFlyweight med vs Nurmagomedov L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 136 / 305 44.6% 40.1% 206 / 557 37.0% 39.3%
In the clinch 47 / 55 85.5% 68.8% 28 / 47 59.6% 70.4%
On the ground 75 / 89 84.3% 71.1% 2 / 4 too few to rate 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 148 / 283 52.3% 35.2% 117 / 438 26.7% 34.9%
To the body 73 / 110 66.4% 68.2% 74 / 111 66.7% 66.0%
To the legs 37 / 56 66.1% 80.3% 45 / 59 76.3% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

375.0% acc · 0.68/15 · norm 1.30
Takedowns landed
3446.6% acc · 4.03/15 · norm 1.12
3280.0% def · norm 62.5%
Takedowns stopped
2779.4% def · norm 66.7%
8:0812.2% of cage time · norm 17.0%
Control time
49:0538.8% of cage time · norm 17.4%
29:066:33 per 15 · norm 2:44
Time under control
3:350:25 per 15 · norm 2:24
30.68/15 · norm 0.58
Submission attempts
20.24/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Nurmagomedov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.