BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Natalia Silva vs.
Rose Namajunas

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-0-0 Natalia Silva · UFC
12-7-0 Rose Namajunas · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-0-0
UFC record
12-7-0
Women's Flyweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
29.5
AgeΔ 4.6 yrs
34.1
5'4"
HeightΔ 1"
5'5"
65"
ReachΔ 0"
65"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6.4
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
6.4
WWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Natalia Silva carries real power — 0.29 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.09 Women's Flyweight norm.
Natalia Silva rarely shoots — 0.43 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.02 Women's Flyweight norm.
Rose Namajunas hunts takedowns — 1.47 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Natalia Silva

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 80
Tier 3 — regional circuit 125

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.02 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500

Rose Namajunas

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 127
Tier 3 — regional circuit 21

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

5024.81/min · norm 3.91
Sig. strikes landed
10403.50/min · norm 3.77
2462.36/min · norm 3.81
Sig. strikes absorbed
10043.38/min · norm 3.94
45.3%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
41.1%norm 44.5%
66.3%norm 55.95%
Striking defense
63.7%norm 54.4%
20.29/15 · norm 0.09
Knockdowns
60.30/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Natalia Silva

Distance 96.6% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 1.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.0% (norm 4.9%)

Rose Namajunas

Distance 90.5% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Natalia Silva

Head 74.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 14.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 10.8% (norm 7.7%)

Rose Namajunas

Head 83.2% (norm 76.4%) · Body 11.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.9% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Silva L/AAccWomen's Flyweight med Namajunas L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 474 / 1071 44.3% 39.9% 871 / 2290 38.0% 38.3%
In the clinch 13 / 16 too few to rate 73.3% 71 / 107 66.4% 72.6%
On the ground 15 / 22 too few to rate 74.7% 98 / 133 73.7% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 289 / 825 35.0% 34.9% 744 / 2105 35.3% 35.4%
To the body 107 / 164 65.2% 69.5% 195 / 300 65.0% 69.3%
To the legs 106 / 120 88.3% 82.6% 101 / 125 80.8% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Silva L/AOpp accWomen's Flyweight med vs Namajunas L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 232 / 708 32.8% 38.8% 836 / 2511 33.3% 39.7%
In the clinch 14 / 23 too few to rate 74.1% 115 / 175 65.7% 71.5%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 73.4% 53 / 78 67.9% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 130 / 530 24.5% 35.3% 510 / 2078 24.5% 36.0%
To the body 58 / 114 50.9% 69.0% 216 / 344 62.8% 68.4%
To the legs 58 / 87 66.7% 78.7% 278 / 342 81.3% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

330.0% acc · 0.43/15 · norm 1.02
Takedowns landed
2948.3% acc · 1.47/15 · norm 1.10
2890.3% def · norm 58.95%
Takedowns stopped
4162.1% def · norm 64.1%
6:045.8% of cage time · norm 19.15%
Control time
58:3619.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
19:342:48 per 15 · norm 3:03
Time under control
29:461:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
00.00/15 · norm 0.32
Submission attempts
70.35/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Namajunas has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.