Natalia Silva vs.
Alexa Grasso
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Natalia Silva
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 8 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 12 | 5 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.02 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 26 documented bouts
In the UFC: 5-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.4 wins over .500
Alexa Grasso
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 9 | 5 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 7 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.2 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 6 finish wins over 22 documented bouts
In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Natalia Silva
Distance 96.6% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 1.4% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 2.0% (norm 4.9%)
Alexa Grasso
Distance 89.7% (norm 87.6%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 1.7% (norm 4.9%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Natalia Silva
Head 74.4% (norm 78.1%) · Body 14.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 10.8% (norm 7.7%)
Alexa Grasso
Head 76.6% (norm 78.1%) · Body 11.8% (norm 14.2%) · Legs 11.6% (norm 7.7%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Silva L/A | Acc | Women's Flyweight med | Grasso L/A | Acc | Women's Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 474 / 1071 | 44.3% | 39.9% | 750 / 2010 | 37.3% | 39.9% |
| In the clinch | 13 / 16 | too few to rate | 73.3% | 142 / 191 | 74.3% | 73.3% |
| On the ground | 15 / 22 | too few to rate | 74.7% | 29 / 39 | 74.4% | 74.7% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 289 / 825 | 35.0% | 34.9% | 570 / 1716 | 33.2% | 34.9% |
| To the body | 107 / 164 | 65.2% | 69.5% | 174 / 264 | 65.9% | 69.5% |
| To the legs | 106 / 120 | 88.3% | 82.6% | 177 / 260 | 68.1% | 82.6% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters · Women's Flyweight: 46 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Silva L/A | Opp acc | Women's Flyweight med | vs Grasso L/A | Opp acc | Women's Flyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 232 / 708 | 32.8% | 38.8% | 709 / 1838 | 38.6% | 38.8% |
| In the clinch | 14 / 23 | too few to rate | 74.1% | 76 / 114 | 66.7% | 74.1% |
| On the ground | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 73.4% | 46 / 61 | 75.4% | 73.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 130 / 530 | 24.5% | 35.3% | 598 / 1692 | 35.3% | 35.3% |
| To the body | 58 / 114 | 50.9% | 69.0% | 145 / 210 | 69.0% | 69.0% |
| To the legs | 58 / 87 | 66.7% | 78.7% | 88 / 111 | 79.3% | 78.7% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Grasso has more cage time on record.