BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Nasrat Haqparast vs.
Drew Dober

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-5-0 Nasrat Haqparast · UFC
15-11-0 (1 NC) Drew Dober · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-5-0
UFC record
15-11-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
31
AgeΔ 6.8 yrs
37.8
5'10"
HeightΔ 2"
5'8"
72"
ReachΔ 2"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
9.4
Layoff (months)Δ 4.4 mo
5
LWWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Drew Dober carries real power — 0.68 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Nasrat Haqparast carries real power — 0.60 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Nasrat Haqparast outworks the Lightweight division — 6.36 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.42 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Nasrat Haqparast

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 105
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.17 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 24 documented bouts

In the UFC: 6-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Drew Dober

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1611
Tier 3 — regional circuit 134

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.97 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 45 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

11206.36/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
9944.48/min · norm 3.42
10566.00/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
9604.33/min · norm 3.37
45.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
41.0%norm 43.5%
63.4%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
53.1%norm 56.3%
70.60/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
100.68/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Nasrat Haqparast

Distance 92.6% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 3.9% (norm 8.0%)

Drew Dober

Distance 87.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 5.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Nasrat Haqparast

Head 84.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.2% (norm 7.9%)

Drew Dober

Head 79.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Haqparast L/AAccLightweight med Dober L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1004 / 2272 44.2% 37.9% 790 / 2128 37.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 62 / 86 72.1% 67.3% 111 / 170 65.3% 67.3%
On the ground 54 / 95 56.8% 69.1% 93 / 125 74.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 835 / 2078 40.2% 35.0% 628 / 1922 32.7% 35.0%
To the body 244 / 322 75.8% 69.1% 225 / 326 69.0% 69.1%
To the legs 41 / 53 77.4% 81.9% 141 / 175 80.6% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Haqparast L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Dober L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 989 / 2793 35.4% 38.9% 771 / 1793 43.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 48 / 69 69.6% 68.6% 87 / 121 71.9% 68.6%
On the ground 19 / 23 too few to rate 68.0% 102 / 132 77.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 714 / 2426 29.4% 35.1% 681 / 1668 40.8% 35.1%
To the body 206 / 304 67.8% 68.1% 197 / 279 70.6% 68.1%
To the legs 136 / 155 87.7% 81.5% 82 / 99 82.8% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

420.0% acc · 0.34/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
917.0% acc · 0.61/15 · norm 1.38
4386.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
3958.2% def · norm 64.0%
6:543.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
29:1913.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
19:181:38 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
49:013:18 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
10.07/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dober has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.