BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Muhammad Saidov vs.
Dustin Jacoby

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-0-0 Muhammad Saidov · UFC
10-7-1 Dustin Jacoby · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-0-0
UFC record
10-7-1
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
Age
38
Height
6'3"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
0.4
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
0.4
W
Last 5 (newest first)
LWWWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Muhammad Saidov carries real power — 3.06 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Muhammad Saidov rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Dustin Jacoby rarely shoots — 0.26 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Muhammad Saidov

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 53
Tier 3 — regional circuit 81

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.1 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 8 finish wins over 17 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.0 wins over .500

Dustin Jacoby

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 119
Tier 3 — regional circuit 111

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.02 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

606.11/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
9355.33/min · norm 3.41
343.46/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
7494.27/min · norm 3.35
45.1%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
45.8%norm 48.3%
63.4%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
57.8%norm 52.9%
23.06/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
70.60/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Muhammad Saidov

Distance 91.0% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 3.8% (norm 10.4%)

Dustin Jacoby

Distance 93.0% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 2.1% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Muhammad Saidov

Head 78.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 12.0% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 9.0% (norm 9.7%)

Dustin Jacoby

Head 79.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.4% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Saidov L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Jacoby L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 52 / 121 43.0% 41.4% 840 / 1899 44.2% 41.4%
In the clinch 4 / 7 too few to rate 70.9% 75 / 102 73.5% 70.9%
On the ground 4 / 5 too few to rate 72.3% 20 / 42 47.6% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 41 / 105 39.0% 38.9% 617 / 1618 38.1% 38.9%
To the body 9 / 16 too few to rate 71.9% 129 / 192 67.2% 71.9%
To the legs 10 / 12 too few to rate 81.8% 189 / 233 81.1% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Saidov L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Jacoby L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 34 / 93 36.6% 40.4% 656 / 1630 40.2% 40.4%
In the clinch 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.7% 52 / 83 62.7% 68.7%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 70.4% 41 / 61 67.2% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 8 / 45 17.8% 37.5% 515 / 1470 35.0% 37.5%
To the body 3 / 11 too few to rate 72.3% 98 / 147 66.7% 72.3%
To the legs 23 / 37 62.2% 83.0% 136 / 157 86.6% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
320.0% acc · 0.26/15 · norm 0.87
0— def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2757.4% def · norm 66.7%
0:020.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
13:197.6% of cage time · norm 16.5%
0:000:00 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
18:321:35 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Jacoby has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.