BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Modestas Bukauskas vs.
Marcin Prachnio

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-5-0 Modestas Bukauskas · UFC
4-7-0 Marcin Prachnio · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-5-0
UFC record
4-7-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
32
AgeΔ 6 yrs
38
6'3"
HeightΔ 0"
6'3"
76"
ReachΔ 3"
73"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
2.7
Layoff (months)Δ 9.9 mo
12.6
WLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Marcin Prachnio rarely shoots — 0.14 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Modestas Bukauskas rarely shoots — 0.23 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Marcin Prachnio outworks the Light Heavyweight division — 5.52 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.41 norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Modestas Bukauskas

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 71
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.19 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Marcin Prachnio

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 87
Tier 3 — regional circuit 93

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.69 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4113.14/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
5935.52/min · norm 3.41
5053.86/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
3383.15/min · norm 3.35
43.0%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
54.6%norm 48.3%
50.5%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
54.6%norm 52.9%
10.11/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
10.14/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Modestas Bukauskas

Distance 91.4% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 10.4%)

Marcin Prachnio

Distance 88.1% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 11.6% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 0.3% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Modestas Bukauskas

Head 85.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 9.7%)

Marcin Prachnio

Head 51.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 25.3% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 23.2% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Bukauskas L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Prachnio L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 355 / 873 40.7% 41.4% 495 / 958 51.7% 41.4%
In the clinch 37 / 54 68.5% 70.9% 95 / 126 75.4% 70.9%
On the ground 19 / 28 67.9% 72.3% 3 / 3 too few to rate 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 297 / 819 36.3% 38.9% 176 / 560 31.4% 38.9%
To the body 70 / 88 79.5% 71.9% 201 / 275 73.1% 71.9%
To the legs 44 / 48 91.7% 81.8% 216 / 252 85.7% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Bukauskas L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Prachnio L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 442 / 941 47.0% 40.4% 267 / 644 41.5% 40.4%
In the clinch 54 / 67 80.6% 68.7% 35 / 54 64.8% 68.7%
On the ground 9 / 13 too few to rate 70.4% 36 / 46 78.3% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 202 / 637 31.7% 37.5% 217 / 591 36.7% 37.5%
To the body 176 / 230 76.5% 72.3% 77 / 97 79.4% 72.3%
To the legs 127 / 154 82.5% 83.0% 44 / 56 78.6% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

266.7% acc · 0.23/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
120.0% acc · 0.14/15 · norm 0.87
2382.1% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1753.1% def · norm 66.7%
14:2111.0% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
3:583.7% of cage time · norm 16.5%
19:362:14 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
24:143:23 per 15 · norm 2:48
10.11/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Bukauskas has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.