BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mitch Gagnon vs.
Renan Barao

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-4-0 Mitch Gagnon · UFC
9-8-0 Renan Barao · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-4-0
UFC record
9-8-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Bantamweight
41
AgeΔ 2 yrs
39
5'5"
HeightΔ 1"
5'6"
65"
ReachΔ 5"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
87.1
Layoff (months)Δ 6.4 mo
80.7
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mitch Gagnon is a submission threat — 1.93 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Mitch Gagnon carries real power — 0.58 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Renan Barao hunts takedowns — 1.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.12 Bantamweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mitch Gagnon

Full career not yet synced for Mitch Gagnon — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Renan Barao

Full career not yet synced for Renan Barao — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2152.76/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
9223.92/min · norm 3.52
1722.21/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
9574.07/min · norm 3.58
46.4%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
36.8%norm 43.4%
61.9%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
58.0%norm 56.6%
30.58/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
40.25/15 · norm 0.30

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mitch Gagnon

Distance 70.6% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 16.6% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 12.7% (norm 6.5%)

Renan Barao

Distance 90.9% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 6.4% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 2.8% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mitch Gagnon

Head 77.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 16.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.7% (norm 8.4%)

Renan Barao

Head 75.5% (norm 77.4%) · Body 15.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 9.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Gagnon L/AAccBantamweight med Barao L/AAccBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 126 / 327 38.5% 39.0% 772 / 2279 33.9% 39.0%
In the clinch 50 / 77 64.9% 68.7% 107 / 160 66.9% 68.7%
On the ground 39 / 59 66.1% 70.2% 43 / 69 62.3% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 138 / 358 38.5% 34.9% 538 / 1893 28.4% 34.9%
To the body 52 / 74 70.3% 66.8% 211 / 376 56.1% 66.8%
To the legs 25 / 31 80.6% 79.4% 173 / 239 72.4% 79.4%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Bantamweight: 117 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Gagnon L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Barao L/AOpp accBantamweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 105 / 348 30.2% 39.3% 816 / 2086 39.1% 39.3%
In the clinch 51 / 71 71.8% 70.4% 84 / 119 70.6% 70.4%
On the ground 16 / 33 48.5% 72.4% 57 / 74 77.0% 72.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 86 / 327 26.3% 34.9% 654 / 1854 35.3% 34.9%
To the body 48 / 74 64.9% 66.0% 178 / 270 65.9% 66.0%
To the legs 38 / 51 74.5% 79.1% 125 / 155 80.6% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

625.0% acc · 1.16/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
2440.7% acc · 1.53/15 · norm 1.12
2365.7% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
3792.5% def · norm 66.7%
17:0021.8% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
36:5915.7% of cage time · norm 17.4%
32:006:09 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
28:001:47 per 15 · norm 2:24
101.93/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
50.32/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Barao has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.