BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Misha Cirkunov vs.
Daniel Jolly

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-7-0 Misha Cirkunov · UFC
0-2-0 Daniel Jolly · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-7-0
UFC record
0-2-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
39.4
AgeΔ 2.5 yrs
41.9
6'3"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
77"
ReachΔ 2"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
45.7
Layoff (months)Δ 68.3 mo
114
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Misha Cirkunov is a submission threat — 1.71 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Misha Cirkunov hunts takedowns — 4.15 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Opponents land 81% of their head shots on Daniel Jolly, vs a 38% Light Heavyweight norm — a hole in the guard.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Misha Cirkunov

Full career not yet synced for Misha Cirkunov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Daniel Jolly

Full career not yet synced for Daniel Jolly — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2373.86/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
61.07/min · norm 3.41
1883.06/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
274.81/min · norm 3.35
51.9%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
35.3%norm 48.3%
57.8%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
15.6%norm 52.9%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Misha Cirkunov

Distance 71.3% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 16.2% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 12.5% (norm 10.4%)

Daniel Jolly

Distance 94.1% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.9% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Misha Cirkunov

Head 76.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 17.5% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 6.3% (norm 9.7%)

Daniel Jolly

Head 41.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 23.5% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 35.3% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cirkunov L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Jolly L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 135 / 326 41.4% 41.4% 5 / 16 too few to rate 41.4%
In the clinch 52 / 74 70.3% 70.9% 1 / 1 too few to rate 70.9%
On the ground 50 / 57 87.7% 72.3% 0 / 0 too few to rate 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 153 / 348 44.0% 38.9% 1 / 7 too few to rate 38.9%
To the body 57 / 80 71.2% 71.9% 4 / 4 too few to rate 71.9%
To the legs 27 / 29 93.1% 81.8% 1 / 6 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cirkunov L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Jolly L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 113 / 340 33.2% 40.4% 6 / 11 too few to rate 40.4%
In the clinch 28 / 39 71.8% 68.7% 2 / 2 too few to rate 68.7%
On the ground 47 / 66 71.2% 70.4% 19 / 19 too few to rate 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 119 / 347 34.3% 37.5% 21 / 26 80.8% 37.5%
To the body 40 / 60 66.7% 72.3% 6 / 6 too few to rate 72.3%
To the legs 29 / 38 76.3% 83.0% 0 / 0 too few to rate 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1739.5% acc · 4.15/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
1076.9% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
125.0% def · norm 66.7%
17:2628.4% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
0:3711.0% of cage time · norm 16.5%
8:252:03 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
2:567:50 per 15 · norm 2:48
71.71/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cirkunov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.