BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Misha Cirkunov vs.
Alex Nicholson

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-7-0 Misha Cirkunov · UFC
1-3-0 Alex Nicholson · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-7-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
39.4
AgeΔ 3.1 yrs
36.3
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'4"
77"
ReachΔ 0"
77"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
45.7
Layoff (months)Δ 64.6 mo
110.3
LLLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Misha Cirkunov is a submission threat — 1.71 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Misha Cirkunov hunts takedowns — 4.15 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Alex Nicholson rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Misha Cirkunov

Full career not yet synced for Misha Cirkunov — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Alex Nicholson

Full career not yet synced for Alex Nicholson — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2373.86/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
1174.12/min · norm 3.25
1883.06/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
1324.65/min · norm 3.20
51.9%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
43.7%norm 47.4%
57.8%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
47.2%norm 53.8%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
10.53/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Misha Cirkunov

Distance 71.3% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 16.2% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 12.5% (norm 10.4%)

Alex Nicholson

Distance 94.8% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 4.1% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 1.1% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Misha Cirkunov

Head 76.1% (norm 79.2%) · Body 17.5% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 6.3% (norm 9.7%)

Alex Nicholson

Head 75.0% (norm 78.0%) · Body 13.4% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 11.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Cirkunov L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Nicholson L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 135 / 326 41.4% 41.4% 109 / 254 42.9% 40.5%
In the clinch 52 / 74 70.3% 70.9% 5 / 11 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 50 / 57 87.7% 72.3% 3 / 3 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 153 / 348 44.0% 38.9% 67 / 201 33.3% 38.9%
To the body 57 / 80 71.2% 71.9% 23 / 36 63.9% 71.7%
To the legs 27 / 29 93.1% 81.8% 27 / 31 87.1% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Cirkunov L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Nicholson L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 113 / 340 33.2% 40.4% 89 / 190 46.8% 39.5%
In the clinch 28 / 39 71.8% 68.7% 16 / 27 59.3% 70.9%
On the ground 47 / 66 71.2% 70.4% 27 / 33 81.8% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 119 / 347 34.3% 37.5% 92 / 200 46.0% 37.9%
To the body 40 / 60 66.7% 72.3% 26 / 33 78.8% 71.3%
To the legs 29 / 38 76.3% 83.0% 14 / 17 too few to rate 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1739.5% acc · 4.15/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.42
1076.9% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
550.0% def · norm 63.1%
17:2628.4% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
0:010.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
8:252:03 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
7:143:49 per 15 · norm 3:00
71.71/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
10.53/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cirkunov has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.