BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Milos Janicic vs.
Noah Gugnon

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-1-0 Milos Janicic · UFC
1-0-0 Noah Gugnon · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-1-0
UFC record
1-0-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
29.3
AgeΔ 3.5 yrs
25.8
Height
Reach
Stance
0.1
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
0.1
L
Last 5 (newest first)
W
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Noah Gugnon is a submission threat — 11.11 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Noah Gugnon owns the mat — in control 49% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Milos Janicic rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Milos Janicic

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 01
Tier 3 — regional circuit 193

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.95 · 0 tier-1/2 wins · 19 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Noah Gugnon

Full career not yet synced for Noah Gugnon — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

64.44/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
53.70/min · norm 3.42
53.70/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
64.44/min · norm 3.37
31.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
45.5%norm 43.5%
54.5%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
68.4%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Milos Janicic

Distance 94.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 8.0%)

Noah Gugnon

Distance 81.8% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 0.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Milos Janicic

Head 94.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 5.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.9%)

Noah Gugnon

Head 63.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 0.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 36.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Janicic L/AAccLightweight med Gugnon L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 6 / 18 too few to rate 37.9% 5 / 9 too few to rate 37.9%
In the clinch 0 / 1 too few to rate 67.3% 0 / 0 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1% 0 / 2 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 5 / 18 too few to rate 35.0% 1 / 7 too few to rate 35.0%
To the body 1 / 1 too few to rate 69.1% 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.9% 4 / 4 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Janicic L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Gugnon L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 5 / 9 too few to rate 38.9% 6 / 18 too few to rate 38.9%
In the clinch 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.6% 0 / 1 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 0 / 2 too few to rate 68.0% 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 1 / 7 too few to rate 35.1% 5 / 18 too few to rate 35.1%
To the body 0 / 0 too few to rate 68.1% 1 / 1 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 4 / 4 too few to rate 81.5% 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
0— def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
0— def · norm 64.0%
0:000.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
0:4049.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
0:407:24 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
0:000:00 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
111.11/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Janicic has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.