Mike van Arsdale vs.
John Marsh
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Mike van Arsdale
Full career not yet synced for Mike van Arsdale — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500
John Marsh
Full career not yet synced for John Marsh — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Mike van Arsdale
Distance 52.3% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 39.8% (norm 10.4%)
John Marsh
Distance 42.9% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 37.1% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 20.0% (norm 9.3%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Mike van Arsdale
Head 77.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 17.6% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 4.5% (norm 9.7%)
John Marsh
Head 65.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 22.9% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 11.4% (norm 7.6%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Arsdale L/A | Acc | Light Heavyweight med | Marsh L/A | Acc | Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 17 / 92 | 18.5% | 41.4% | 5 / 15 | too few to rate | 40.1% |
| In the clinch | 5 / 14 | too few to rate | 70.9% | 9 / 13 | too few to rate | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 48 / 70 | 68.6% | 72.3% | 4 / 7 | too few to rate | 70.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 37 / 137 | 27.0% | 38.9% | 8 / 23 | too few to rate | 38.9% |
| To the body | 28 / 31 | 90.3% | 71.9% | 6 / 8 | too few to rate | 76.8% |
| To the legs | 5 / 8 | too few to rate | 81.8% | 4 / 4 | too few to rate | 87.8% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Arsdale L/A | Opp acc | Light Heavyweight med | vs Marsh L/A | Opp acc | Heavyweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 13 / 43 | 30.2% | 40.4% | 2 / 21 | too few to rate | 40.7% |
| In the clinch | 21 / 27 | 77.8% | 68.7% | 1 / 2 | too few to rate | 70.6% |
| On the ground | 24 / 34 | 70.6% | 70.4% | 31 / 37 | 83.8% | 72.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 21 / 62 | 33.9% | 37.5% | 14 / 39 | 35.9% | 38.8% |
| To the body | 25 / 30 | 83.3% | 72.3% | 20 / 21 | too few to rate | 75.1% |
| To the legs | 12 / 12 | too few to rate | 83.0% | 0 / 0 | too few to rate | 84.4% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Arsdale has more cage time on record.