BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mike van Arsdale vs.
Joe Pardo

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-2-0 Mike van Arsdale · UFC
0-1-0 Joe Pardo · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-2-0
UFC record
0-1-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
61.1
Age
6'2"
HeightΔ 1"
6'1"
Reach
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
246
Layoff (months)Δ 92.7 mo
338.7
LLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
L
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joe Pardo is a submission threat — 1.36 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Joe Pardo's takedown defense leaks — 0% stopped, vs a 64% Heavyweight norm.
Mike van Arsdale owns the mat — in control 31% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mike van Arsdale

Full career not yet synced for Mike van Arsdale — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Joe Pardo

Full career not yet synced for Joe Pardo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

701.78/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
40.36/min · norm 3.36
581.48/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
272.45/min · norm 3.19
39.8%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
36.4%norm 47.8%
44.2%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
62.5%norm 52.5%
00.00/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mike van Arsdale

Distance 52.3% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 8.0% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 39.8% (norm 10.4%)

Joe Pardo

Distance 90.9% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.1% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 0.0% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mike van Arsdale

Head 77.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 17.6% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 4.5% (norm 9.7%)

Joe Pardo

Head 63.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 36.4% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Arsdale L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Pardo L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 17 / 92 18.5% 41.4% 3 / 10 too few to rate 40.1%
In the clinch 5 / 14 too few to rate 70.9% 1 / 1 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 48 / 70 68.6% 72.3% 0 / 0 too few to rate 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 37 / 137 27.0% 38.9% 2 / 7 too few to rate 38.9%
To the body 28 / 31 90.3% 71.9% 2 / 4 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 5 / 8 too few to rate 81.8% 0 / 0 too few to rate 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Arsdale L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Pardo L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 13 / 43 30.2% 40.4% 9 / 35 25.7% 40.7%
In the clinch 21 / 27 77.8% 68.7% 1 / 4 too few to rate 70.6%
On the ground 24 / 34 70.6% 70.4% 17 / 33 51.5% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 21 / 62 33.9% 37.5% 15 / 55 27.3% 38.8%
To the body 25 / 30 83.3% 72.3% 8 / 10 too few to rate 75.1%
To the legs 12 / 12 too few to rate 83.0% 4 / 7 too few to rate 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

320.0% acc · 1.15/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
861.5% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
00.0% def · norm 64.3%
8:5131.4% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
— of cage time · norm 17.2%
11:244:21 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
— per 15 · norm 2:28
10.38/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
11.36/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Arsdale has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.