BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mike Swick vs.
Dan Hardy

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-5-0 Mike Swick · UFC
6-4-0 Dan Hardy · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-5-0
UFC record
6-4-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
47
AgeΔ 3 yrs
44
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
77"
ReachΔ 3"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
132.9
Layoff (months)Δ 33.3 mo
166.2
LLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Dan Hardy's takedown defense leaks — 36% stopped, vs a 64% Welterweight norm.
Dan Hardy rarely shoots — 0.73 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Mike Swick is wasteful with head shots — only 24% land, vs a 37% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mike Swick

Full career not yet synced for Mike Swick — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Dan Hardy

Full career not yet synced for Dan Hardy — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2872.29/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
3042.46/min · norm 3.17
2912.32/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
4253.44/min · norm 3.06
35.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
35.3%norm 44.9%
55.2%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
51.1%norm 55.25%
40.48/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
30.36/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mike Swick

Distance 70.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 20.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.6% (norm 8.1%)

Dan Hardy

Distance 80.2% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.6% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mike Swick

Head 75.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 12.3% (norm 8.4%)

Dan Hardy

Head 80.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Swick L/AAccWelterweight med Hardy L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 144 / 567 25.4% 38.6% 200 / 690 29.0% 38.6%
In the clinch 109 / 166 65.7% 67.8% 69 / 113 61.1% 67.8%
On the ground 34 / 69 49.3% 67.2% 35 / 57 61.4% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 144 / 608 23.7% 37.2% 190 / 691 27.5% 37.2%
To the body 67 / 95 70.5% 70.7% 53 / 79 67.1% 70.7%
To the legs 76 / 99 76.8% 82.9% 61 / 90 67.8% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Swick L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Hardy L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 116 / 426 27.2% 39.0% 286 / 663 43.1% 39.0%
In the clinch 134 / 166 80.7% 68.9% 68 / 109 62.4% 68.9%
On the ground 41 / 58 70.7% 68.0% 71 / 98 72.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 151 / 466 32.4% 35.6% 240 / 613 39.2% 35.6%
To the body 64 / 92 69.6% 69.6% 116 / 162 71.6% 69.6%
To the legs 76 / 92 82.6% 82.1% 69 / 95 72.6% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

847.1% acc · 0.96/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
635.3% acc · 0.73/15 · norm 1.27
2457.1% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
1135.5% def · norm 63.9%
27:3722.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
19:3215.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
35:514:17 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
44:175:22 per 15 · norm 3:15
50.60/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
30.36/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Swick has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.