BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mike Russow vs.
Justin McCully

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

4-2-0 Mike Russow · UFC
2-2-0 Justin McCully · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

4-2-0
UFC record
2-2-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
49
AgeΔ 1 yrs
50
6'1"
HeightΔ 0"
6'1"
73"
ReachΔ 0"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
162.3
Layoff (months)Δ 40.9 mo
203.2
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mike Russow hunts takedowns — 4.23 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.95 Heavyweight norm.
Mike Russow is a submission threat — 0.47 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Justin McCully owns the mat — in control 44% of cage time, vs a 17% Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mike Russow

Full career not yet synced for Mike Russow — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Justin McCully

Full career not yet synced for Justin McCully — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

981.53/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
741.58/min · norm 3.36
1933.02/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
952.02/min · norm 3.19
47.1%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
37.9%norm 47.8%
59.2%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
46.9%norm 52.5%
10.23/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
10.32/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mike Russow

Distance 69.2% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 11.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 19.2% (norm 9.3%)

Justin McCully

Distance 61.0% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 19.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 19.5% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mike Russow

Head 93.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 6.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.6%)

Justin McCully

Head 83.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 3.6% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Russow L/AAccHeavyweight med McCully L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 57 / 144 39.6% 40.1% 33 / 119 27.7% 40.1%
In the clinch 13 / 24 too few to rate 70.6% 23 / 38 60.5% 70.6%
On the ground 28 / 40 70.0% 70.2% 18 / 38 47.4% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 87 / 195 44.6% 38.9% 57 / 163 35.0% 38.9%
To the body 11 / 13 too few to rate 76.8% 4 / 7 too few to rate 76.8%
To the legs 0 / 0 too few to rate 87.8% 13 / 25 52.0% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Russow L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs McCully L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 121 / 370 32.7% 40.7% 26 / 79 32.9% 40.7%
In the clinch 35 / 53 66.0% 70.6% 45 / 64 70.3% 70.6%
On the ground 37 / 50 74.0% 72.0% 24 / 36 66.7% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 157 / 427 36.8% 38.8% 56 / 137 40.9% 38.8%
To the body 23 / 31 74.2% 75.1% 31 / 34 91.2% 75.1%
To the legs 13 / 15 too few to rate 84.4% 8 / 8 too few to rate 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1842.9% acc · 4.23/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
444.4% acc · 1.28/15 · norm 0.95
00.0% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
743.8% def · norm 64.3%
29:2746.1% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
20:3343.8% of cage time · norm 17.2%
2:520:40 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
14:554:45 per 15 · norm 2:28
20.47/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Russow has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.