BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mike Rodriguez vs.
Adam Milstead

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-5-0 (1 NC) Mike Rodriguez · UFC
1-2-0 (1 NC) Adam Milstead · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-5-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
1-2-0 (1 NC)
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
37
AgeΔ 2 yrs
39
6'4"
HeightΔ 1"
6'3"
82"
ReachΔ 6"
76"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
58.6
Layoff (months)Δ 33.1 mo
91.7
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLNCW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mike Rodriguez carries real power — 1.02 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Mike Rodriguez rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Adam Milstead rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mike Rodriguez

Full career not yet synced for Mike Rodriguez — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Adam Milstead

Full career not yet synced for Adam Milstead — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3244.39/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
1273.85/min · norm 3.41
3194.32/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
1584.79/min · norm 3.35
54.5%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
46.9%norm 48.3%
41.4%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
43.4%norm 52.9%
51.02/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mike Rodriguez

Distance 74.3% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 19.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 6.1% (norm 10.4%)

Adam Milstead

Distance 86.3% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 12.2% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 1.5% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mike Rodriguez

Head 61.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 23.7% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 14.8% (norm 9.7%)

Adam Milstead

Head 90.4% (norm 79.2%) · Body 6.3% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 3.3% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rodriguez L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Milstead L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 196 / 442 44.3% 41.4% 101 / 234 43.2% 41.4%
In the clinch 102 / 117 87.2% 70.9% 22 / 33 66.7% 70.9%
On the ground 26 / 36 72.2% 72.3% 4 / 4 too few to rate 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 144 / 366 39.3% 38.9% 105 / 245 42.9% 38.9%
To the body 112 / 141 79.4% 71.9% 13 / 17 too few to rate 71.9%
To the legs 68 / 88 77.3% 81.8% 9 / 9 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rodriguez L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Milstead L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 164 / 349 47.0% 40.4% 107 / 220 48.6% 40.4%
In the clinch 85 / 116 73.3% 68.7% 14 / 18 too few to rate 68.7%
On the ground 70 / 79 88.6% 70.4% 37 / 41 90.2% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 201 / 387 51.9% 37.5% 104 / 218 47.7% 37.5%
To the body 71 / 104 68.3% 72.3% 25 / 31 80.6% 72.3%
To the legs 47 / 53 88.7% 83.0% 29 / 30 96.7% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.87
1135.5% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
1864.3% def · norm 66.7%
8:4511.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
0:201.0% of cage time · norm 16.5%
32:166:33 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
17:057:46 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rodriguez has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.