BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mike Ricci vs.
Colton Smith

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Mike Ricci · UFC
1-3-0 Colton Smith · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40.4
AgeΔ 1.4 yrs
39
6'0"
HeightΔ 0"
6'0"
76"
ReachΔ 5"
71"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
154.5
Layoff (months)Δ 9.2 mo
145.3
LWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Colton Smith hunts takedowns — 4.09 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Colton Smith is a submission threat — 1.36 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Mike Ricci rarely shoots — 0.67 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mike Ricci

Full career not yet synced for Mike Ricci — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Colton Smith

Full career not yet synced for Colton Smith — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.5 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

811.80/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
541.64/min · norm 3.42
741.64/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
762.30/min · norm 3.37
32.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
41.5%norm 43.5%
65.9%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
51.6%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.45/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mike Ricci

Distance 86.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 2.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.2% (norm 8.0%)

Colton Smith

Distance 76.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 16.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 6.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mike Ricci

Head 72.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.4% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.8% (norm 7.9%)

Colton Smith

Head 64.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 21.5% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Ricci L/AAccLightweight med Smith L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 55 / 216 25.5% 37.9% 30 / 100 30.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 4 / 6 too few to rate 67.3% 17 / 22 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 22 / 28 78.6% 69.1% 7 / 8 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 53 / 182 29.1% 35.0% 21 / 84 25.0% 35.0%
To the body 22 / 51 43.1% 69.1% 11 / 18 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 6 / 17 too few to rate 81.9% 22 / 28 78.6% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Ricci L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Smith L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 56 / 196 28.6% 38.9% 54 / 120 45.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 9 / 10 too few to rate 68.6% 14 / 26 53.8% 68.6%
On the ground 9 / 11 too few to rate 68.0% 8 / 11 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 22 / 116 19.0% 35.1% 68 / 146 46.6% 35.1%
To the body 13 / 34 38.2% 68.1% 6 / 8 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 39 / 67 58.2% 81.5% 2 / 3 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2100.0% acc · 0.67/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
936.0% acc · 4.09/15 · norm 1.38
1354.2% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
125.0% def · norm 64.0%
4:5811.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
15:4847.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
19:336:31 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
2:191:03 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
31.36/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Smith has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.