BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mike Guymon vs.
Rory MacDonald

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Mike Guymon · UFC
9-4-0 Rory MacDonald · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
9-4-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
51.9
AgeΔ 14.9 yrs
37
6'0"
HeightΔ 0"
6'0"
74"
ReachΔ 2"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
186.4
Layoff (months)Δ 64.8 mo
121.6
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mike Guymon is a submission threat — 1.25 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Mike Guymon owns the mat — in control 32% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Rory MacDonald hunts takedowns — 1.77 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mike Guymon

Full career not yet synced for Mike Guymon — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Rory MacDonald

Full career not yet synced for Rory MacDonald — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 8-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

662.75/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
6673.75/min · norm 3.17
190.79/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
4992.80/min · norm 3.06
65.3%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
42.5%norm 44.9%
66.1%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
62.5%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.08/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mike Guymon

Distance 47.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 12.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 39.6% (norm 8.1%)

Rory MacDonald

Distance 83.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 10.1% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mike Guymon

Head 78.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.4%)

Rory MacDonald

Head 82.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 3.5% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Guymon L/AAccWelterweight med MacDonald L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 13 / 48 27.1% 38.6% 509 / 1317 38.6% 38.6%
In the clinch 13 / 13 too few to rate 67.8% 55 / 95 57.9% 67.8%
On the ground 40 / 40 100.0% 67.2% 103 / 158 65.2% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 45 / 79 57.0% 37.2% 499 / 1302 38.3% 37.2%
To the body 15 / 16 too few to rate 70.7% 125 / 213 58.7% 70.7%
To the legs 6 / 6 too few to rate 82.9% 43 / 55 78.2% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Guymon L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs MacDonald L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 10 / 46 21.7% 39.0% 370 / 1123 32.9% 39.0%
In the clinch 2 / 2 too few to rate 68.9% 59 / 105 56.2% 68.9%
On the ground 7 / 8 too few to rate 68.0% 70 / 101 69.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 16 / 49 32.7% 35.6% 323 / 1073 30.1% 35.6%
To the body 2 / 5 too few to rate 69.6% 72 / 126 57.1% 69.6%
To the legs 1 / 2 too few to rate 82.1% 104 / 130 80.0% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

337.5% acc · 1.87/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
2147.7% acc · 1.77/15 · norm 1.27
654.5% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
4088.9% def · norm 63.9%
7:4632.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
28:5216.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
11:006:51 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
20:471:45 per 15 · norm 3:15
21.25/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
50.42/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — MacDonald has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.