Mike Breeden vs.
Alexander Hernandez
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Mike Breeden
Full career not yet synced for Mike Breeden — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500
Alexander Hernandez
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 10 | 8 |
| Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) | 2 | 0 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 6 | 1 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.04 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 27 documented bouts
In the UFC: 6-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.2 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Mike Breeden
Distance 92.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 6.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 1.0% (norm 8.0%)
Alexander Hernandez
Distance 91.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.2% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Mike Breeden
Head 81.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.0% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.5% (norm 7.9%)
Alexander Hernandez
Head 72.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.7% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Breeden L/A | Acc | Lightweight med | Hernandez L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 184 / 378 | 48.7% | 37.9% | 670 / 1779 | 37.7% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 16 / 25 | 64.0% | 67.3% | 61 / 91 | 67.0% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 3 / 4 | too few to rate | 69.1% | 58 / 81 | 71.6% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 143 / 332 | 43.1% | 35.0% | 438 / 1408 | 31.1% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 51 / 65 | 78.5% | 69.1% | 245 / 392 | 62.5% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 9 / 10 | too few to rate | 81.9% | 106 / 151 | 70.2% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Breeden L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med | vs Hernandez L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 207 / 361 | 57.3% | 38.9% | 712 / 1894 | 37.6% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 27 / 44 | 61.4% | 68.6% | 86 / 124 | 69.4% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 11 / 12 | too few to rate | 68.0% | 33 / 45 | 73.3% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 169 / 325 | 52.0% | 35.1% | 495 / 1578 | 31.4% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 57 / 72 | 79.2% | 68.1% | 197 / 314 | 62.7% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 19 / 20 | too few to rate | 81.5% | 139 / 171 | 81.3% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Hernandez has more cage time on record.