BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mickael Lebout vs.
Teemu Packalen

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-2-0 Mickael Lebout · UFC
1-3-0 Teemu Packalen · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-2-0
UFC record
1-3-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
39
AgeΔ 0.2 yrs
39.2
5'11"
HeightΔ 2"
6'1"
73"
ReachΔ 2"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
129.4
Layoff (months)Δ 46.4 mo
83
LWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Teemu Packalen is a submission threat — 1.54 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Teemu Packalen carries real power — 0.77 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Mickael Lebout rarely shoots — 0.00 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mickael Lebout

Full career not yet synced for Mickael Lebout — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Teemu Packalen

Full career not yet synced for Teemu Packalen — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.2 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

1172.60/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
502.57/min · norm 3.42
1342.98/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
763.91/min · norm 3.37
34.9%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
54.3%norm 43.5%
54.3%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
47.9%norm 56.3%
00.00/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.77/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mickael Lebout

Distance 94.0% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 0.9% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 5.1% (norm 8.0%)

Teemu Packalen

Distance 73.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.6% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 18.5% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mickael Lebout

Head 83.6% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.7% (norm 7.9%)

Teemu Packalen

Head 83.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 2.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Lebout L/AAccLightweight med Packalen L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 105 / 315 33.3% 37.9% 34 / 68 50.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 0 / 3 too few to rate 67.3% 5 / 7 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 12 / 17 too few to rate 69.1% 11 / 17 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 77 / 280 27.5% 35.0% 37 / 77 48.1% 35.0%
To the body 16 / 26 61.5% 69.1% 12 / 13 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 24 / 29 82.8% 81.9% 1 / 2 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Lebout L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Packalen L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 124 / 277 44.8% 38.9% 56 / 117 47.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 1 / 2 too few to rate 68.6% 8 / 11 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 9 / 14 too few to rate 68.0% 12 / 18 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 94 / 239 39.3% 35.1% 48 / 109 44.0% 35.1%
To the body 21 / 28 75.0% 68.1% 14 / 20 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 19 / 26 73.1% 81.5% 14 / 17 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
325.0% acc · 2.31/15 · norm 1.38
960.0% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1100.0% def · norm 64.0%
7:4417.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
3:2417.5% of cage time · norm 19.5%
8:012:40 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
7:065:28 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
21.54/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Packalen has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.