BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Michelle Waterson-Gomez vs.
Rose Namajunas

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-9-0 Michelle Waterson-Gomez · UFC
12-7-0 Rose Namajunas · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-9-0
UFC record
12-7-0
Women's Strawweight
Division (benchmark)
Women's Strawweight
40.6
AgeΔ 6.5 yrs
34.1
5'3"
HeightΔ 2"
5'5"
62"
ReachΔ 3"
65"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
25.2
Layoff (months)Δ 18.8 mo
6.4
LLLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Michelle Waterson-Gomez is a submission threat — 0.55 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Women's Strawweight norm.
Rose Namajunas hunts takedowns — 1.47 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.10 Women's Strawweight norm.
Rose Namajunas defends head shots well — opponents land just 25%, vs a 36% Women's Strawweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Michelle Waterson-Gomez

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 69
Tier 3 — regional circuit 124

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.47 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 31 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500

Rose Namajunas

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 127
Tier 3 — regional circuit 21

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.14 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 22 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

7803.57/min · norm 3.77
Sig. strikes landed
10403.50/min · norm 3.77
9914.54/min · norm 3.94
Sig. strikes absorbed
10043.38/min · norm 3.94
45.8%norm 44.5%
Striking accuracy
41.1%norm 44.5%
48.0%norm 54.4%
Striking defense
63.7%norm 54.4%
00.00/15 · norm 0.00
Knockdowns
60.30/15 · norm 0.00

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Michelle Waterson-Gomez

Distance 83.0% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.5% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 6.5% (norm 5.0%)

Rose Namajunas

Distance 90.5% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 4.2% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 5.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Michelle Waterson-Gomez

Head 64.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 19.4% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 16.2% (norm 9.1%)

Rose Namajunas

Head 83.2% (norm 76.4%) · Body 11.9% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 4.9% (norm 9.1%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Waterson-Gomez L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med Namajunas L/AAccWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 546 / 1413 38.6% 38.3% 871 / 2290 38.0% 38.3%
In the clinch 146 / 179 81.6% 72.6% 71 / 107 66.4% 72.6%
On the ground 88 / 111 79.3% 75.0% 98 / 133 73.7% 75.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 366 / 1097 33.4% 35.4% 744 / 2105 35.3% 35.4%
To the body 222 / 330 67.3% 69.3% 195 / 300 65.0% 69.3%
To the legs 192 / 276 69.6% 77.9% 101 / 125 80.8% 77.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Waterson-Gomez L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med vs Namajunas L/AOpp accWomen's Strawweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 619 / 1447 42.8% 39.7% 836 / 2511 33.3% 39.7%
In the clinch 239 / 302 79.1% 71.5% 115 / 175 65.7% 71.5%
On the ground 133 / 156 85.3% 74.4% 53 / 78 67.9% 74.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 536 / 1292 41.5% 36.0% 510 / 2078 24.5% 36.0%
To the body 263 / 362 72.7% 68.4% 216 / 344 62.8% 68.4%
To the legs 192 / 251 76.5% 79.1% 278 / 342 81.3% 79.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1930.2% acc · 1.31/15 · norm 1.10
Takedowns landed
2948.3% acc · 1.47/15 · norm 1.10
2670.3% def · norm 64.1%
Takedowns stopped
4162.1% def · norm 64.1%
39:4718.2% of cage time · norm 19.4%
Control time
58:3619.7% of cage time · norm 19.4%
50:313:28 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
29:461:30 per 15 · norm 3:00
80.55/15 · norm 0.29
Submission attempts
70.35/15 · norm 0.29

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Namajunas has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.