Michelle Waterson-Gomez vs.
Cortney Casey
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 6 | 9 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 12 | 4 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 0.47 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 31 documented bouts
In the UFC: 3-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.1 wins over .500
Cortney Casey
Full career not yet synced for Cortney Casey — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Distance 83.0% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 10.5% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 6.5% (norm 5.0%)
Cortney Casey
Distance 87.9% (norm 86.9%) · Clinch 6.8% (norm 7.7%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 5.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Michelle Waterson-Gomez
Head 64.4% (norm 76.4%) · Body 19.4% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 16.2% (norm 9.1%)
Cortney Casey
Head 82.6% (norm 76.4%) · Body 7.2% (norm 14.9%) · Legs 10.2% (norm 9.1%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Waterson-Gomez L/A | Acc | Women's Strawweight med | Casey L/A | Acc | Women's Strawweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 546 / 1413 | 38.6% | 38.3% | 640 / 1832 | 34.9% | 38.3% |
| In the clinch | 146 / 179 | 81.6% | 72.6% | 95 / 142 | 66.9% | 72.6% |
| On the ground | 88 / 111 | 79.3% | 75.0% | 81 / 111 | 73.0% | 75.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 366 / 1097 | 33.4% | 35.4% | 558 / 1722 | 32.4% | 35.4% |
| To the body | 222 / 330 | 67.3% | 69.3% | 87 / 150 | 58.0% | 69.3% |
| To the legs | 192 / 276 | 69.6% | 77.9% | 171 / 213 | 80.3% | 77.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters · Women's Strawweight: 63 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Waterson-Gomez L/A | Opp acc | Women's Strawweight med | vs Casey L/A | Opp acc | Women's Strawweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 619 / 1447 | 42.8% | 39.7% | 607 / 1453 | 41.8% | 39.7% |
| In the clinch | 239 / 302 | 79.1% | 71.5% | 78 / 126 | 61.9% | 71.5% |
| On the ground | 133 / 156 | 85.3% | 74.4% | 76 / 118 | 64.4% | 74.4% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 536 / 1292 | 41.5% | 36.0% | 459 / 1290 | 35.6% | 36.0% |
| To the body | 263 / 362 | 72.7% | 68.4% | 144 / 218 | 66.1% | 68.4% |
| To the legs | 192 / 251 | 76.5% | 79.1% | 158 / 189 | 83.6% | 79.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Waterson-Gomez has more cage time on record.