BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Michal Oleksiejczuk vs.
Modestas Bukauskas

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

10-8-0 (1 NC) Michal Oleksiejczuk · UFC
8-5-0 Modestas Bukauskas · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

10-8-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
8-5-0
Middleweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
31.5
AgeΔ 1 yrs
32.5
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
6'3"
74"
ReachΔ 2"
76"
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
1.3
Layoff (months)Δ 1.4 mo
2.7
LWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Michal Oleksiejczuk carries real power — 1.11 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.32 Middleweight norm.
Michal Oleksiejczuk outworks the Middleweight division — 5.73 sig. strikes landed per minute, vs a 3.25 norm.
Modestas Bukauskas rarely shoots — 0.23 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Michal Oleksiejczuk

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 108
Tier 3 — regional circuit 112

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.9 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 16 finish wins over 32 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Modestas Bukauskas

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 85
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 71
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.19 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 14 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

6945.73/min · norm 3.25
Sig. strikes landed
4113.14/min · norm 3.41
5404.45/min · norm 3.20
Sig. strikes absorbed
5053.86/min · norm 3.35
52.8%norm 47.4%
Striking accuracy
43.0%norm 48.3%
60.0%norm 53.8%
Striking defense
50.5%norm 52.9%
91.11/15 · norm 0.32
Knockdowns
10.11/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Michal Oleksiejczuk

Distance 85.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 2.3% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 12.2% (norm 10.3%)

Modestas Bukauskas

Distance 91.4% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 2.9% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Michal Oleksiejczuk

Head 78.7% (norm 78.0%) · Body 18.3% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 3.0% (norm 8.4%)

Modestas Bukauskas

Head 85.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 5.0% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Oleksiejczuk L/AAccMiddleweight med Bukauskas L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 565 / 1125 50.2% 40.5% 355 / 873 40.7% 41.4%
In the clinch 25 / 30 83.3% 70.3% 37 / 54 68.5% 70.9%
On the ground 104 / 160 65.0% 69.1% 19 / 28 67.9% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 462 / 1035 44.6% 38.9% 297 / 819 36.3% 38.9%
To the body 197 / 240 82.1% 71.7% 70 / 88 79.5% 71.9%
To the legs 35 / 40 87.5% 83.3% 44 / 48 91.7% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Middleweight: 174 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Oleksiejczuk L/AOpp accMiddleweight med vs Bukauskas L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 451 / 1213 37.2% 39.5% 442 / 941 47.0% 40.4%
In the clinch 77 / 125 61.6% 70.9% 54 / 67 80.6% 68.7%
On the ground 12 / 13 too few to rate 69.0% 9 / 13 too few to rate 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 342 / 1066 32.1% 37.9% 202 / 637 31.7% 37.5%
To the body 156 / 233 67.0% 71.3% 176 / 230 76.5% 72.3%
To the legs 42 / 52 80.8% 82.1% 127 / 154 82.5% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

842.1% acc · 0.99/15 · norm 1.42
Takedowns landed
266.7% acc · 0.23/15 · norm 0.87
1852.9% def · norm 63.1%
Takedowns stopped
2382.1% def · norm 66.7%
11:309.5% of cage time · norm 19.75%
Control time
14:2111.0% of cage time · norm 16.5%
12:571:36 per 15 · norm 3:00
Time under control
19:362:14 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.47
Submission attempts
10.11/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Oleksiejczuk has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.