BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Michael McDonald vs.
Chris Cariaso

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

6-3-0 Michael McDonald · UFC
7-6-0 Chris Cariaso · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

6-3-0
UFC record
7-6-0
Bantamweight
Division (benchmark)
Flyweight
35.6
AgeΔ 9.6 yrs
45.2
5'9"
HeightΔ 6"
5'3"
70"
ReachΔ 6"
64"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
120.8
Layoff (months)Δ 9.3 mo
130.1
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Michael McDonald is a submission threat — 1.31 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Bantamweight norm.
Michael McDonald carries real power — 0.94 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.30 Bantamweight norm.
Chris Cariaso rarely shoots — 0.84 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.30 Flyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Michael McDonald

Full career not yet synced for Michael McDonald — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.8 wins over .500

Chris Cariaso

Full career not yet synced for Chris Cariaso — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 2-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2162.70/min · norm 3.52
Sig. strikes landed
5913.32/min · norm 3.49
2262.82/min · norm 3.58
Sig. strikes absorbed
4312.42/min · norm 3.24
42.7%norm 43.4%
Striking accuracy
43.2%norm 44.6%
57.2%norm 56.6%
Striking defense
60.3%norm 56.4%
50.94/15 · norm 0.30
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.18

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Michael McDonald

Distance 88.3% (norm 87.4%) · Clinch 6.9% (norm 5.7%) · Ground 4.7% (norm 6.5%)

Chris Cariaso

Distance 80.0% (norm 85.1%) · Clinch 13.6% (norm 6.0%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 7.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Michael McDonald

Head 89.3% (norm 77.4%) · Body 5.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 4.7% (norm 8.4%)

Chris Cariaso

Head 75.3% (norm 75.9%) · Body 17.8% (norm 13.3%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 9.3%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone McDonald L/AAccBantamweight med Cariaso L/AAccFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 180 / 447 40.3% 39.0% 404 / 1095 36.9% 40.0%
In the clinch 19 / 35 54.3% 68.7% 133 / 186 71.5% 70.4%
On the ground 17 / 24 too few to rate 70.2% 54 / 87 62.1% 69.7%
BY TARGET
To the head 171 / 452 37.8% 34.9% 337 / 1030 32.7% 37.6%
To the body 23 / 30 76.7% 66.8% 174 / 243 71.6% 68.5%
To the legs 22 / 24 too few to rate 79.4% 80 / 95 84.2% 80.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Bantamweight: 117 fighters · Flyweight: 73 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs McDonald L/AOpp accBantamweight med vs Cariaso L/AOpp accFlyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 174 / 442 39.4% 39.3% 256 / 812 31.5% 40.1%
In the clinch 13 / 35 37.1% 70.4% 90 / 138 65.2% 68.8%
On the ground 39 / 51 76.5% 72.4% 85 / 137 62.0% 71.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 131 / 407 32.2% 34.9% 251 / 842 29.8% 35.2%
To the body 60 / 80 75.0% 66.0% 131 / 184 71.2% 68.2%
To the legs 35 / 41 85.4% 79.1% 49 / 61 80.3% 80.3%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

666.7% acc · 1.12/15 · norm 1.12
Takedowns landed
1038.5% acc · 0.84/15 · norm 1.30
1052.6% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
4256.8% def · norm 62.5%
7:008.7% of cage time · norm 17.4%
Control time
24:0113.5% of cage time · norm 17.0%
20:453:53 per 15 · norm 2:24
Time under control
67:245:40 per 15 · norm 2:44
71.31/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
70.59/15 · norm 0.58

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Cariaso has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.