BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Michael Johnson vs.
Thiago Moises

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

16-16-0 Michael Johnson · UFC
8-8-0 Thiago Moises · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

16-16-0
UFC record
8-8-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
40
AgeΔ 9 yrs
31
5'10"
HeightΔ 1"
5'9"
73"
ReachΔ 3"
70"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5
Layoff (months)Δ 1.4 mo
3.6
LWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Thiago Moises is a submission threat — 1.07 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Michael Johnson carries real power — 0.53 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Michael Johnson rarely shoots — 0.57 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Michael Johnson

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1616
Tier 3 — regional circuit 84

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.54 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 44 documented bouts

In the UFC: 11-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.3 wins over .500

Thiago Moises

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 98
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 51
Tier 3 — regional circuit 51

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.03 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

15684.27/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
4332.38/min · norm 3.42
13863.78/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
8074.44/min · norm 3.37
39.6%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
42.5%norm 43.5%
58.8%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
52.6%norm 56.3%
130.53/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.08/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Michael Johnson

Distance 93.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.5% (norm 8.0%)

Thiago Moises

Distance 86.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 3.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 10.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Michael Johnson

Head 70.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 21.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 8.0% (norm 7.9%)

Thiago Moises

Head 77.9% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 12.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Johnson L/AAccLightweight med Moises L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1405 / 3703 37.9% 37.9% 326 / 882 37.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 101 / 157 64.3% 67.3% 25 / 36 69.4% 67.3%
On the ground 62 / 101 61.4% 69.1% 82 / 102 80.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 829 / 2776 29.9% 35.0% 274 / 795 34.5% 35.0%
To the body 496 / 869 57.1% 69.1% 56 / 93 60.2% 69.1%
To the legs 243 / 316 76.9% 81.9% 103 / 132 78.0% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Johnson L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Moises L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 1025 / 2854 35.9% 38.9% 605 / 1372 44.1% 38.9%
In the clinch 96 / 140 68.6% 68.6% 78 / 106 73.6% 68.6%
On the ground 265 / 373 71.0% 68.0% 124 / 223 55.6% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 923 / 2702 34.2% 35.1% 344 / 1119 30.7% 35.1%
To the body 231 / 379 60.9% 68.1% 256 / 352 72.7% 68.1%
To the legs 232 / 286 81.1% 81.5% 207 / 230 90.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1438.9% acc · 0.57/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1729.8% acc · 1.40/15 · norm 1.38
8681.1% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
2152.5% def · norm 64.0%
28:497.9% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
39:3821.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
61:252:30 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
40:313:20 per 15 · norm 2:46
10.04/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
131.07/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Johnson has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.