BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Michael Graves vs.
Randy Brown

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-0-1 Michael Graves · UFC
14-8-0 Randy Brown · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-0-1
UFC record
14-8-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
35
AgeΔ 1 yrs
36
5'10"
HeightΔ 5"
6'3"
71"
ReachΔ 7"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
120.2
Layoff (months)Δ 116.4 mo
3.8
DWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Michael Graves hunts takedowns — 4.80 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Michael Graves owns the mat — in control 57% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Randy Brown rarely shoots — 0.71 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Michael Graves

Full career not yet synced for Michael Graves — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Randy Brown

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 148
Tier 3 — regional circuit 60

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.28 · 14 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.8 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

471.25/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
10164.39/min · norm 3.17
551.47/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
7753.35/min · norm 3.06
54.0%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
47.1%norm 44.9%
58.6%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
53.5%norm 55.25%
00.00/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
60.39/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Michael Graves

Distance 46.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 18.4% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 35.6% (norm 8.1%)

Randy Brown

Distance 85.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 8.8% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Michael Graves

Head 79.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 8.0% (norm 8.4%)

Randy Brown

Head 76.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 10.1% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Graves L/AAccWelterweight med Brown L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 17 / 40 42.5% 38.6% 784 / 1853 42.3% 38.6%
In the clinch 10 / 16 too few to rate 67.8% 154 / 190 81.1% 67.8%
On the ground 20 / 31 64.5% 67.2% 78 / 115 67.8% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 36 / 69 52.2% 37.2% 631 / 1651 38.2% 37.2%
To the body 7 / 11 too few to rate 70.7% 208 / 289 72.0% 70.7%
To the legs 4 / 7 too few to rate 82.9% 177 / 218 81.2% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Graves L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Brown L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 34 / 104 32.7% 39.0% 596 / 1410 42.3% 39.0%
In the clinch 11 / 15 too few to rate 68.9% 106 / 143 74.1% 68.9%
On the ground 10 / 14 too few to rate 68.0% 73 / 115 63.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 23 / 82 28.0% 35.6% 297 / 1063 27.9% 35.6%
To the body 19 / 27 70.4% 69.6% 142 / 199 71.4% 69.6%
To the legs 13 / 24 too few to rate 82.1% 336 / 406 82.8% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1252.2% acc · 4.80/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1134.4% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.27
266.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
4774.6% def · norm 63.9%
21:3057.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
36:4615.9% of cage time · norm 18.5%
5:542:21 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
64:224:10 per 15 · norm 3:15
10.40/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
80.52/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Brown has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.