BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Michael Chiesa vs.
Niko Price

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-7-0 Michael Chiesa · UFC
8-11-0 (2 NC) Niko Price · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-7-0
UFC record
8-11-0 (2 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
38.7
AgeΔ 1.8 yrs
36.9
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'0"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
76"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
4.3
Layoff (months)Δ 0 mo
4.3
WWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Michael Chiesa hunts takedowns — 3.11 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Michael Chiesa is a submission threat — 1.04 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Niko Price absorbs 5.57 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.06 Welterweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Michael Chiesa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 157
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.4 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500

Niko Price

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 811
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.68 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4092.02/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
8705.11/min · norm 3.17
3501.73/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
9495.57/min · norm 3.06
40.7%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
43.3%norm 44.9%
58.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
48.3%norm 55.25%
10.07/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
50.44/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Michael Chiesa

Distance 75.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 14.7% (norm 8.1%)

Niko Price

Distance 85.7% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 6.4% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Michael Chiesa

Head 85.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 2.4% (norm 8.4%)

Niko Price

Head 76.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 11.6% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Chiesa L/AAccWelterweight med Price L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 249 / 760 32.8% 38.6% 678 / 1722 39.4% 38.6%
In the clinch 65 / 98 66.3% 67.8% 94 / 159 59.1% 67.8%
On the ground 95 / 148 64.2% 67.2% 98 / 129 76.0% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 299 / 859 34.8% 37.2% 533 / 1543 34.5% 37.2%
To the body 88 / 123 71.5% 70.7% 143 / 234 61.1% 70.7%
To the legs 22 / 24 too few to rate 82.9% 194 / 233 83.3% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Chiesa L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Price L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 262 / 712 36.8% 39.0% 748 / 1536 48.7% 39.0%
In the clinch 48 / 68 70.6% 68.9% 81 / 108 75.0% 68.9%
On the ground 40 / 53 75.5% 68.0% 120 / 193 62.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 181 / 605 29.9% 35.6% 649 / 1480 43.9% 35.6%
To the body 88 / 127 69.3% 69.6% 163 / 208 78.4% 69.6%
To the legs 81 / 101 80.2% 82.1% 137 / 149 91.9% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4247.7% acc · 3.11/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1230.0% acc · 1.06/15 · norm 1.27
2765.9% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2150.0% def · norm 63.9%
81:0340.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
25:1114.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
37:002:44 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
36:083:10 per 15 · norm 3:15
141.04/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
70.62/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Chiesa has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.