BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Michael Chiesa vs.
Joe Lauzon

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

15-7-0 Michael Chiesa · UFC
15-12-0 Joe Lauzon · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

15-7-0
UFC record
15-12-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
38.7
AgeΔ 3.5 yrs
42.2
6'1"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
75"
ReachΔ 4"
71"
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
4.3
Layoff (months)Δ 77.3 mo
81.6
WWWWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Joe Lauzon is a submission threat — 2.04 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Michael Chiesa hunts takedowns — 3.11 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Michael Chiesa is a submission threat — 1.04 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Michael Chiesa

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 157
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.4 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 27 documented bouts

In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500

Joe Lauzon

Full career not yet synced for Joe Lauzon — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.9 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4092.02/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
6052.84/min · norm 3.42
3501.73/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
11485.39/min · norm 3.37
40.7%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
39.7%norm 43.5%
58.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
54.7%norm 56.3%
10.07/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
30.21/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Michael Chiesa

Distance 75.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 14.7% (norm 8.1%)

Joe Lauzon

Distance 76.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 9.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 14.4% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Michael Chiesa

Head 85.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 2.4% (norm 8.4%)

Joe Lauzon

Head 94.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 4.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 1.2% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Chiesa L/AAccWelterweight med Lauzon L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 249 / 760 32.8% 38.6% 326 / 1161 28.1% 37.9%
In the clinch 65 / 98 66.3% 67.8% 99 / 144 68.8% 67.3%
On the ground 95 / 148 64.2% 67.2% 180 / 220 81.8% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 299 / 859 34.8% 37.2% 537 / 1436 37.4% 35.0%
To the body 88 / 123 71.5% 70.7% 56 / 71 78.9% 69.1%
To the legs 22 / 24 too few to rate 82.9% 12 / 18 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Chiesa L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Lauzon L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 262 / 712 36.8% 39.0% 828 / 2022 40.9% 38.9%
In the clinch 48 / 68 70.6% 68.9% 204 / 312 65.4% 68.6%
On the ground 40 / 53 75.5% 68.0% 116 / 202 57.4% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 181 / 605 29.9% 35.6% 792 / 2089 37.9% 35.1%
To the body 88 / 127 69.3% 69.6% 260 / 334 77.8% 68.1%
To the legs 81 / 101 80.2% 82.1% 96 / 113 85.0% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

4247.7% acc · 3.11/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
3445.3% acc · 2.39/15 · norm 1.38
2765.9% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
2354.8% def · norm 64.0%
81:0340.0% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
51:4324.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
37:002:44 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
38:172:41 per 15 · norm 2:46
141.04/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
292.04/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lauzon has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.