Michael Chiesa vs.
Francisco Trinaldo
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Michael Chiesa
| Competition tier | W | L |
|---|---|---|
| Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin | 15 | 7 |
| Tier 3 — regional circuit | 5 | 0 |
Tier-weighted record quality: 1.4 · 15 tier-1/2 wins · 13 finish wins over 27 documented bouts
In the UFC: 7-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.5 wins over .500
Francisco Trinaldo
Full career not yet synced for Francisco Trinaldo — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 11-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.2 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Michael Chiesa
Distance 75.5% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 9.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 14.7% (norm 8.1%)
Francisco Trinaldo
Distance 80.2% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.1% (norm 8.0%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Michael Chiesa
Head 85.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.2% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 2.4% (norm 8.4%)
Francisco Trinaldo
Head 77.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 16.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.9%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Chiesa L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Trinaldo L/A | Acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 249 / 760 | 32.8% | 38.6% | 703 / 1789 | 39.3% | 37.9% |
| In the clinch | 65 / 98 | 66.3% | 67.8% | 168 / 238 | 70.6% | 67.3% |
| On the ground | 95 / 148 | 64.2% | 67.2% | 138 / 203 | 68.0% | 69.1% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 299 / 859 | 34.8% | 37.2% | 616 / 1723 | 35.8% | 35.0% |
| To the body | 88 / 123 | 71.5% | 70.7% | 277 / 375 | 73.9% | 69.1% |
| To the legs | 22 / 24 | too few to rate | 82.9% | 116 / 132 | 87.9% | 81.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Chiesa L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Trinaldo L/A | Opp acc | Lightweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 262 / 712 | 36.8% | 39.0% | 679 / 1932 | 35.1% | 38.9% |
| In the clinch | 48 / 68 | 70.6% | 68.9% | 100 / 134 | 74.6% | 68.6% |
| On the ground | 40 / 53 | 75.5% | 68.0% | 81 / 125 | 64.8% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 181 / 605 | 29.9% | 35.6% | 442 / 1598 | 27.7% | 35.1% |
| To the body | 88 / 127 | 69.3% | 69.6% | 249 / 390 | 63.8% | 68.1% |
| To the legs | 81 / 101 | 80.2% | 82.1% | 169 / 203 | 83.3% | 81.5% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Trinaldo has more cage time on record.