BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Michael Aswell Jr. vs.
Luke Riley

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Michael Aswell Jr. · UFC
3-0-0 Luke Riley · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
3-0-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
Age
27
Height
Reach
Stance
1.5
Layoff (months)Δ 0.6 mo
0.9
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Luke Riley carries real power — 1.27 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Michael Aswell Jr. carries real power — 0.64 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Michael Aswell Jr. absorbs 7.11 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.47 Featherweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Michael Aswell Jr.

Full career not yet synced for Michael Aswell Jr. — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Luke Riley

Full career not yet synced for Luke Riley — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.3 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3146.72/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
1576.67/min · norm 3.54
3327.11/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
913.86/min · norm 3.47
39.5%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
58.8%norm 45.0%
52.2%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
61.1%norm 54.85%
20.64/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
21.27/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Michael Aswell Jr.

Distance 94.1% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.4% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 2.5% (norm 6.5%)

Luke Riley

Distance 88.0% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 7.1% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 4.9% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Michael Aswell Jr.

Head 88.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.3% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 1.8% (norm 7.8%)

Luke Riley

Head 77.2% (norm 77.4%) · Body 18.0% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 4.9% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Jr. L/AAccFeatherweight med Riley L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 289 / 748 38.6% 40.9% 129 / 235 54.9% 40.9%
In the clinch 14 / 27 51.9% 70.8% 17 / 19 too few to rate 70.8%
On the ground 11 / 20 too few to rate 69.2% 11 / 13 too few to rate 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 256 / 707 36.2% 37.2% 106 / 206 51.5% 37.2%
To the body 50 / 74 67.6% 68.2% 41 / 48 85.4% 68.2%
To the legs 8 / 14 too few to rate 80.7% 10 / 13 too few to rate 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Jr. L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Riley L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 320 / 677 47.3% 39.2% 82 / 215 38.1% 39.2%
In the clinch 12 / 17 too few to rate 70.3% 5 / 13 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.4% 4 / 6 too few to rate 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 195 / 511 38.2% 35.9% 63 / 193 32.6% 35.9%
To the body 102 / 134 76.1% 67.9% 18 / 27 66.7% 67.9%
To the legs 35 / 49 71.4% 81.5% 10 / 14 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

125.0% acc · 0.32/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
0— acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.19
150.0% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
337.5% def · norm 61.5%
4:108.9% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
0:171.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
0:220:07 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
6:444:17 per 15 · norm 3:12
00.00/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Jr. has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.