BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Michael Aswell Jr. vs.
Lucas Almeida

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

1-3-0 Michael Aswell Jr. · UFC
2-4-0 Lucas Almeida · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

1-3-0
UFC record
2-4-0
Featherweight
Division (benchmark)
Featherweight
Age
35.5
Height
5'11"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
1.5
Layoff (months)Δ 8.3 mo
9.8
LLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Lucas Almeida carries real power — 0.85 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Michael Aswell Jr. carries real power — 0.64 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.29 Featherweight norm.
Michael Aswell Jr. absorbs 7.11 sig. strikes per minute, well above the 3.47 Featherweight norm — hittable.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Michael Aswell Jr.

Full career not yet synced for Michael Aswell Jr. — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Lucas Almeida

Full career not yet synced for Lucas Almeida — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3146.72/min · norm 3.54
Sig. strikes landed
2404.53/min · norm 3.54
3327.11/min · norm 3.47
Sig. strikes absorbed
2494.70/min · norm 3.47
39.5%norm 45.0%
Striking accuracy
37.6%norm 45.0%
52.2%norm 54.85%
Striking defense
43.4%norm 54.85%
20.64/15 · norm 0.29
Knockdowns
30.85/15 · norm 0.29

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Michael Aswell Jr.

Distance 94.1% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 3.4% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 2.5% (norm 6.5%)

Lucas Almeida

Distance 93.9% (norm 85.7%) · Clinch 0.8% (norm 6.1%) · Ground 5.3% (norm 6.5%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Michael Aswell Jr.

Head 88.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 9.3% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 1.8% (norm 7.8%)

Lucas Almeida

Head 74.9% (norm 77.4%) · Body 11.9% (norm 12.9%) · Legs 13.2% (norm 7.8%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Jr. L/AAccFeatherweight med Almeida L/AAccFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 289 / 748 38.6% 40.9% 212 / 599 35.4% 40.9%
In the clinch 14 / 27 51.9% 70.8% 4 / 5 too few to rate 70.8%
On the ground 11 / 20 too few to rate 69.2% 24 / 34 70.6% 69.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 256 / 707 36.2% 37.2% 128 / 478 26.8% 37.2%
To the body 50 / 74 67.6% 68.2% 45 / 76 59.2% 68.2%
To the legs 8 / 14 too few to rate 80.7% 67 / 84 79.8% 80.7%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Featherweight: 126 fighters · Featherweight: 126 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Jr. L/AOpp accFeatherweight med vs Almeida L/AOpp accFeatherweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 320 / 677 47.3% 39.2% 183 / 348 52.6% 39.2%
In the clinch 12 / 17 too few to rate 70.3% 4 / 7 too few to rate 70.3%
On the ground 0 / 0 too few to rate 69.4% 62 / 85 72.9% 69.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 195 / 511 38.2% 35.9% 168 / 342 49.1% 35.9%
To the body 102 / 134 76.1% 67.9% 44 / 57 77.2% 67.9%
To the legs 35 / 49 71.4% 81.5% 37 / 41 90.2% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

125.0% acc · 0.32/15 · norm 1.19
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.19
150.0% def · norm 61.5%
Takedowns stopped
654.5% def · norm 61.5%
4:108.9% of cage time · norm 16.7%
Control time
3:176.2% of cage time · norm 16.7%
0:220:07 per 15 · norm 3:12
Time under control
11:473:20 per 15 · norm 3:12
00.00/15 · norm 0.46
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.46

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Almeida has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.