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Melvin Guillard vs. Josh Neer

UFC 12-9-0 (1 NC) vs. 6-9-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
12-9-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
6-9-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
43
AgeΔ 0 yrs
43
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'11"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
151.4
Layoff (months)Δ 12.4 mo
163.8
LNCWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWW

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Melvin Guillard carries real power — 1.33 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Josh Neer is a submission threat — 1.30 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Melvin Guillard is hard to hit — absorbs 1.83 sig. strikes per minute, vs a 3.38 Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Melvin Guillard

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1213
Tier 3 — regional circuit 2111

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.38 · 12 tier-1/2 wins · 24 finish wins over 62 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Josh Neer

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 612
Tier 3 — regional circuit 304

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.74 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 32 finish wins over 53 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4483.06/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
4733.15/min · norm 3.17
2671.83/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
5443.63/min · norm 3.08
39.7%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
44.7%norm 44.75%
68.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
57.7%norm 55.25%
131.33/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.10/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Melvin Guillard

Distance 79.4% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 12.1% (norm 8.0%)

Josh Neer

Distance 61.9% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 20.7% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 17.4% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Melvin Guillard

Head 82.3% (norm 78.0%) · Body 11.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 8.0%)

Josh Neer

Head 85.9% (norm 78.3%) · Body 8.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 5.6% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Guillard L/AAccLightweight med Neer L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 312 / 896 34.8% 38.3% 222 / 656 33.8% 38.5%
In the clinch 58 / 96 60.4% 67.5% 139 / 219 63.5% 67.8%
On the ground 78 / 136 57.4% 68.8% 112 / 184 60.9% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 300 / 928 32.3% 35.1% 352 / 910 38.7% 36.4%
To the body 90 / 134 67.2% 69.1% 72 / 90 80.0% 70.7%
To the legs 58 / 66 87.9% 81.8% 49 / 59 83.1% 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Guillard L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Neer L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 219 / 732 29.9% 38.8% 317 / 910 34.8% 39.1%
In the clinch 36 / 75 48.0% 68.6% 156 / 229 68.1% 68.9%
On the ground 12 / 31 38.7% 68.0% 71 / 147 48.3% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 123 / 604 20.4% 35.2% 357 / 1047 34.1% 35.6%
To the body 59 / 111 53.2% 68.2% 137 / 184 74.5% 69.6%
To the legs 85 / 123 69.1% 81.5% 50 / 55 90.9% 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
1466.7% acc · 1.44/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
1041.7% acc · 1.00/15 · norm 1.31
5865.2% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
2742.2% def · norm 63.9%
12:558.8% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
32:4021.8% of cage time · norm 18.5%
34:063:29 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
54:525:29 per 15 · norm 3:15
20.21/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
131.30/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Guillard has more cage time on record.