BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Melvin Guillard vs.
Dennis Siver

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

12-9-0 (1 NC) Melvin Guillard · UFC
12-8-0 (1 NC) Dennis Siver · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

12-9-0 (1 NC)
UFC record
12-8-0 (1 NC)
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
43
AgeΔ 4 yrs
47
5'9"
HeightΔ 3"
5'6"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
148.9
Layoff (months)Δ 39.5 mo
109.4
LNCWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWNC
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Melvin Guillard carries real power — 1.33 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Dennis Siver carries real power — 0.47 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Dennis Siver is wasteful with clinch strikes — only 37% land, vs a 67% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Melvin Guillard

Full career not yet synced for Melvin Guillard — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.3 wins over .500

Dennis Siver

Full career not yet synced for Dennis Siver — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

4483.06/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
8693.87/min · norm 3.42
2671.83/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
5982.67/min · norm 3.37
39.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
32.4%norm 43.5%
68.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
65.0%norm 56.3%
131.33/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
70.47/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Melvin Guillard

Distance 79.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 12.1% (norm 8.0%)

Dennis Siver

Distance 90.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 4.8% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Melvin Guillard

Head 82.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 11.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 5.9% (norm 7.9%)

Dennis Siver

Head 78.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 8.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 13.4% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Guillard L/AAccLightweight med Siver L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 312 / 896 34.8% 37.9% 737 / 2423 30.4% 37.9%
In the clinch 58 / 96 60.4% 67.3% 46 / 126 36.5% 67.3%
On the ground 78 / 136 57.4% 69.1% 86 / 129 66.7% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 300 / 928 32.3% 35.0% 494 / 2091 23.6% 35.0%
To the body 90 / 134 67.2% 69.1% 118 / 228 51.8% 69.1%
To the legs 58 / 66 87.9% 81.9% 257 / 359 71.6% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Guillard L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Siver L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 219 / 732 29.9% 38.9% 472 / 1477 32.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 36 / 75 48.0% 68.6% 44 / 77 57.1% 68.6%
On the ground 12 / 31 38.7% 68.0% 82 / 157 52.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 123 / 604 20.4% 35.1% 372 / 1335 27.9% 35.1%
To the body 59 / 111 53.2% 68.1% 99 / 170 58.2% 68.1%
To the legs 85 / 123 69.1% 81.5% 127 / 206 61.7% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1466.7% acc · 1.44/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1332.5% acc · 0.87/15 · norm 1.38
5865.2% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
3965.0% def · norm 64.0%
12:558.8% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
38:0717.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
34:063:29 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
39:502:39 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.21/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
50.33/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Guillard has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.