BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mehdi Baghdad vs.
Chris Wade

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

0-2-0 Mehdi Baghdad · UFC
5-2-0 Chris Wade · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

0-2-0
UFC record
5-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
41.3
AgeΔ 2.4 yrs
38.9
6'1"
HeightΔ 3"
5'10"
Reach
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
121
Layoff (months)Δ 12.5 mo
108.5
LL
Last 5 (newest first)
WLLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mehdi Baghdad carries real power — 0.77 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Chris Wade is a submission threat — 1.12 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Chris Wade owns the mat — in control 44% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mehdi Baghdad

Full career not yet synced for Mehdi Baghdad — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Chris Wade

Full career not yet synced for Chris Wade — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

613.13/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
1371.70/min · norm 3.42
894.56/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
1411.75/min · norm 3.37
30.8%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
53.9%norm 43.5%
46.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
51.9%norm 56.3%
10.77/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
10.19/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mehdi Baghdad

Distance 93.9% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 4.0% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 2.0% (norm 8.0%)

Chris Wade

Distance 66.1% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 17.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 16.1% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mehdi Baghdad

Head 78.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.6% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.6% (norm 7.9%)

Chris Wade

Head 61.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 18.5% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 20.1% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Baghdad L/AAccLightweight med Wade L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 54 / 186 29.0% 37.9% 74 / 168 44.0% 37.9%
In the clinch 3 / 8 too few to rate 67.3% 37 / 45 82.2% 67.3%
On the ground 4 / 4 too few to rate 69.1% 26 / 41 63.4% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 33 / 156 21.2% 35.0% 66 / 156 42.3% 35.0%
To the body 8 / 19 too few to rate 69.1% 29 / 47 61.7% 69.1%
To the legs 20 / 23 too few to rate 81.9% 42 / 51 82.4% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Baghdad L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Wade L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 80 / 139 57.6% 38.9% 66 / 199 33.2% 38.9%
In the clinch 3 / 10 too few to rate 68.6% 32 / 48 66.7% 68.6%
On the ground 6 / 16 too few to rate 68.0% 43 / 46 93.5% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 35 / 97 36.1% 35.1% 75 / 208 36.1% 35.1%
To the body 27 / 37 73.0% 68.1% 33 / 47 70.2% 68.1%
To the legs 27 / 31 87.1% 81.5% 33 / 38 86.8% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
1451.9% acc · 2.60/15 · norm 1.38
133.3% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
1655.2% def · norm 64.0%
0:070.6% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
35:3044.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
6:014:37 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
25:284:44 per 15 · norm 2:46
00.00/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
61.12/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Wade has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.