Maxim Grishin vs. Philipe Lins

UFC 2-3-0 vs. 4-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-3-0
UFC record
4-2-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
42
AgeΔ 2 yrs
40
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
78"
ReachΔ 0"
78"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
38.1
Layoff (months)Δ 9.2 mo
28.9
LWLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Philipe Lins hunts takedowns — 1.65 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Philipe Lins owns the mat — in control 31% of cage time, vs a 16% Light Heavyweight norm.
Maxim Grishin rarely shoots — 0.21 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Maxim Grishin

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 63
Tier 3 — regional circuit 289

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.69 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 23 finish wins over 48 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Philipe Lins

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 105
Tier 3 — regional circuit 71

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.23 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 12 finish wins over 23 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.7 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2283.26/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
2413.80/min · norm 3.41
1592.27/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
2283.59/min · norm 3.35
52.7%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
49.1%norm 48.3%
58.8%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
46.5%norm 52.9%
20.43/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
10.24/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Maxim Grishin

Distance 83.6% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 8.1% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 8.3% (norm 10.4%)

Philipe Lins

Distance 89.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 8.4% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 2.4% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Maxim Grishin

Head 63.7% (norm 79.2%) · Body 14.5% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 21.7% (norm 9.7%)

Philipe Lins

Head 72.9% (norm 79.2%) · Body 16.1% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 11.0% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Grishin L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Lins L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 186 / 362 51.4% 41.4% 202 / 438 46.1% 41.4%
In the clinch 24 / 35 68.6% 70.9% 30 / 41 73.2% 70.9%
On the ground 18 / 36 50.0% 72.3% 9 / 12 too few to rate 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 96 / 276 34.8% 38.9% 141 / 358 39.4% 38.9%
To the body 45 / 63 71.4% 71.9% 55 / 79 69.6% 71.9%
To the legs 87 / 94 92.6% 81.8% 45 / 54 83.3% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Grishin L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Lins L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 129 / 342 37.7% 40.4% 179 / 361 49.6% 40.4%
In the clinch 25 / 39 64.1% 68.7% 47 / 63 74.6% 68.7%
On the ground 5 / 5 too few to rate 70.4% 2 / 2 too few to rate 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 76 / 252 30.2% 37.5% 94 / 266 35.3% 37.5%
To the body 38 / 63 60.3% 72.3% 68 / 83 81.9% 72.3%
To the legs 45 / 71 63.4% 83.0% 66 / 77 85.7% 83.0%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
116.7% acc · 0.21/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
733.3% acc · 1.65/15 · norm 0.87
1666.7% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
5100.0% def · norm 66.7%
6:569.9% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
19:3530.8% of cage time · norm 16.5%
23:535:07 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
2:460:39 per 15 · norm 2:48
00.00/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
00.00/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lins has more cage time on record.