BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Max Griffin vs.
Thiago Alves

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

8-11-0 Max Griffin · UFC
15-12-0 Thiago Alves · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

8-11-0
UFC record
15-12-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
40.7
AgeΔ 2.1 yrs
42.8
5'11"
HeightΔ 2"
5'9"
76"
ReachΔ 6"
70"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
3.4
Layoff (months)Δ 76.6 mo
80
LLLWL
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Thiago Alves carries real power — 0.66 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Thiago Alves rarely shoots — 0.71 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 1.27 Welterweight norm.
Max Griffin carries real power — 0.48 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.38 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Max Griffin

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 811
Tier 3 — regional circuit 122

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.72 · 8 tier-1/2 wins · 11 finish wins over 33 documented bouts

In the UFC: 4-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.5 wins over .500

Thiago Alves

Full career not yet synced for Thiago Alves — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 7-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

9223.70/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
11063.73/min · norm 3.17
9213.69/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
10153.42/min · norm 3.06
47.3%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
41.8%norm 44.9%
58.0%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
62.5%norm 55.25%
80.48/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
130.66/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Max Griffin

Distance 88.9% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 6.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 4.4% (norm 8.1%)

Thiago Alves

Distance 84.1% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 8.0% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Max Griffin

Head 79.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.5% (norm 8.4%)

Thiago Alves

Head 73.8% (norm 78.2%) · Body 7.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 18.7% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Griffin L/AAccWelterweight med Alves L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 786 / 1733 45.4% 38.6% 867 / 2227 38.9% 38.6%
In the clinch 84 / 131 64.1% 67.8% 126 / 208 60.6% 67.8%
On the ground 52 / 86 60.5% 67.2% 113 / 213 53.1% 67.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 615 / 1542 39.9% 37.2% 569 / 1953 29.1% 37.2%
To the body 179 / 262 68.3% 70.7% 150 / 200 75.0% 70.7%
To the legs 128 / 146 87.7% 82.9% 387 / 495 78.2% 82.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Griffin L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Alves L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 773 / 1977 39.1% 39.0% 731 / 2283 32.0% 39.0%
In the clinch 120 / 173 69.4% 68.9% 159 / 251 63.3% 68.9%
On the ground 28 / 43 65.1% 68.0% 125 / 174 71.8% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 609 / 1746 34.9% 35.6% 649 / 2203 29.5% 35.6%
To the body 191 / 297 64.3% 69.6% 218 / 312 69.9% 69.6%
To the legs 121 / 150 80.7% 82.1% 148 / 193 76.7% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2441.4% acc · 1.44/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
1460.9% acc · 0.71/15 · norm 1.27
4169.5% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
7763.1% def · norm 63.9%
38:1715.3% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
30:5610.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
35:552:09 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
76:113:51 per 15 · norm 3:15
40.24/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
60.30/15 · norm 0.45

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Alves has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.