BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mauricio Rua vs.
Rogerio Nogueira

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-12-1 Mauricio Rua · UFC
6-7-0 Rogerio Nogueira · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-12-1
UFC record
6-7-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
44.7
AgeΔ 5.5 yrs
50.2
6'1"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
76"
ReachΔ 1"
75"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
42.5
Layoff (months)Δ 29.9 mo
72.4
LLLWD
Last 5 (newest first)
LLWLW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mauricio Rua carries real power — 0.79 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Rogerio Nogueira rarely shoots — 0.12 takedowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Mauricio Rua hunts takedowns — 1.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mauricio Rua

Full career not yet synced for Mauricio Rua — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Rogerio Nogueira

Full career not yet synced for Rogerio Nogueira — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 6-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.6 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8883.35/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
3412.78/min · norm 3.41
9173.46/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
3963.23/min · norm 3.35
51.5%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
36.6%norm 48.3%
52.2%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
54.7%norm 52.9%
140.79/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
40.49/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mauricio Rua

Distance 76.7% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 10.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 12.6% (norm 10.4%)

Rogerio Nogueira

Distance 84.2% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 7.9% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 7.8% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mauricio Rua

Head 72.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 11.3% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 16.0% (norm 9.7%)

Rogerio Nogueira

Head 88.2% (norm 79.2%) · Body 10.1% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 1.7% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rua L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Nogueira L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 621 / 1322 47.0% 41.4% 245 / 785 31.2% 41.4%
In the clinch 130 / 184 70.7% 70.9% 44 / 74 59.5% 70.9%
On the ground 137 / 217 63.1% 72.3% 52 / 73 71.2% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 527 / 1254 42.0% 38.9% 262 / 822 31.9% 38.9%
To the body 140 / 194 72.2% 71.9% 64 / 94 68.1% 71.9%
To the legs 221 / 275 80.4% 81.8% 15 / 16 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rua L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Nogueira L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 605 / 1462 41.4% 40.4% 235 / 641 36.7% 40.4%
In the clinch 148 / 225 65.8% 68.7% 37 / 70 52.9% 68.7%
On the ground 164 / 233 70.4% 70.4% 124 / 163 76.1% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 616 / 1529 40.3% 37.5% 264 / 704 37.5% 37.5%
To the body 206 / 263 78.3% 72.3% 69 / 92 75.0% 72.3%
To the legs 95 / 128 74.2% 83.0% 63 / 78 80.8% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2742.9% acc · 1.53/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1100.0% acc · 0.12/15 · norm 0.87
3147.7% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
4164.1% def · norm 66.7%
61:3423.2% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
6:285.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
49:342:48 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
35:274:19 per 15 · norm 2:48
40.23/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
20.24/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rua has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.