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Mauricio Rua vs. Paul Craig

UFC 11-12-1 vs. 9-10-1 (1 NC)

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
11-12-1
UFC record
9-10-1 (1 NC)
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
44
AgeΔ 6 yrs
38
6'1"
HeightΔ 2"
6'3"
76"
ReachΔ 0"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
44.9
Layoff (months)Δ 31.5 mo
13.4
LLLWD
Last 5 (newest first)
LNCLLL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Paul Craig is a submission threat — 1.34 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Light Heavyweight norm.
Mauricio Rua carries real power — 0.79 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Mauricio Rua hunts takedowns — 1.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Mauricio Rua

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1112
Tier 3 — regional circuit 142

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.79 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 20 finish wins over 40 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Paul Craig

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 910
Tier 3 — regional circuit 80

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.89 · 9 tier-1/2 wins · 17 finish wins over 29 documented bouts

In the UFC: 5-7 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.5 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8883.35/min · norm 3.48
Sig. strikes landed
4212.50/min · norm 3.48
9173.46/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
5113.04/min · norm 3.37
51.5%norm 48.45%
Striking accuracy
45.4%norm 48.45%
52.2%norm 52.75%
Striking defense
43.4%norm 52.75%
140.79/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
10.09/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mauricio Rua

Distance 76.7% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 10.7% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 12.6% (norm 10.6%)

Paul Craig

Distance 78.4% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 8.6% (norm 8.8%) · Ground 12.9% (norm 10.6%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mauricio Rua

Head 72.8% (norm 78.5%) · Body 11.3% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 16.0% (norm 9.7%)

Paul Craig

Head 68.3% (norm 78.5%) · Body 21.8% (norm 11.8%) · Legs 9.9% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rua L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Craig L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 621 / 1322 47.0% 41.5% 283 / 728 38.9% 41.5%
In the clinch 130 / 184 70.7% 70.8% 57 / 80 71.2% 70.8%
On the ground 137 / 217 63.1% 72.9% 81 / 120 67.5% 72.9%
BY TARGET
To the head 527 / 1254 42.0% 39.2% 211 / 634 33.3% 39.2%
To the body 140 / 194 72.2% 72.0% 133 / 202 65.8% 72.0%
To the legs 221 / 275 80.4% 82.1% 77 / 92 83.7% 82.1%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 94 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rua L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Craig L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 605 / 1462 41.4% 40.6% 281 / 584 48.1% 40.6%
In the clinch 148 / 225 65.8% 68.8% 49 / 60 81.7% 68.8%
On the ground 164 / 233 70.4% 70.4% 181 / 259 69.9% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 616 / 1529 40.3% 37.7% 353 / 713 49.5% 37.7%
To the body 206 / 263 78.3% 72.9% 78 / 97 80.4% 72.9%
To the legs 95 / 128 74.2% 83.1% 80 / 93 86.0% 83.1%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
2742.9% acc · 1.53/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
1618.8% acc · 1.43/15 · norm 0.87
3147.7% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
635.3% def · norm 66.7%
61:3423.2% of cage time · norm 17.1%
Control time
22:4913.6% of cage time · norm 17.1%
49:342:48 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
62:195:33 per 15 · norm 2:50
40.23/15 · norm 0.28
Submission attempts
151.34/15 · norm 0.28

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Rua has more cage time on record.