BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Mauricio Rua vs.
Anthony Smith

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

11-12-1 Mauricio Rua · UFC
13-12-0 Anthony Smith · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

11-12-1
UFC record
13-12-0
Light Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Light Heavyweight
44.7
AgeΔ 6.7 yrs
38
6'1"
HeightΔ 3"
6'4"
76"
ReachΔ 0"
76"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
42.5
Layoff (months)Δ 27.2 mo
15.3
LLLWD
Last 5 (newest first)
LLLWL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Mauricio Rua carries real power — 0.79 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.40 Light Heavyweight norm.
Mauricio Rua hunts takedowns — 1.53 per 15 minutes, vs a 0.87 Light Heavyweight norm.
Anthony Smith is a submission threat — 0.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.27 Light Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Mauricio Rua

Full career not yet synced for Mauricio Rua — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 10-10 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.0 wins over .500

Anthony Smith

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1512
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 2310

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.69 · 16 tier-1/2 wins · 36 finish wins over 61 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-11 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +3.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

8883.35/min · norm 3.41
Sig. strikes landed
8403.24/min · norm 3.41
9173.46/min · norm 3.35
Sig. strikes absorbed
13475.19/min · norm 3.35
51.5%norm 48.3%
Striking accuracy
50.1%norm 48.3%
52.2%norm 52.9%
Striking defense
44.4%norm 52.9%
140.79/15 · norm 0.40
Knockdowns
70.40/15 · norm 0.40

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Mauricio Rua

Distance 76.7% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 10.7% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 12.6% (norm 10.4%)

Anthony Smith

Distance 91.7% (norm 80.5%) · Clinch 5.3% (norm 8.6%) · Ground 3.0% (norm 10.4%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Mauricio Rua

Head 72.8% (norm 79.2%) · Body 11.3% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 16.0% (norm 9.7%)

Anthony Smith

Head 75.6% (norm 79.2%) · Body 13.8% (norm 11.7%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 9.7%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Rua L/AAccLight Heavyweight med Smith L/AAccLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 621 / 1322 47.0% 41.4% 739 / 1539 48.0% 41.4%
In the clinch 130 / 184 70.7% 70.9% 64 / 89 71.9% 70.9%
On the ground 137 / 217 63.1% 72.3% 37 / 50 74.0% 72.3%
BY TARGET
To the head 527 / 1254 42.0% 38.9% 527 / 1268 41.6% 38.9%
To the body 140 / 194 72.2% 71.9% 155 / 232 66.8% 71.9%
To the legs 221 / 275 80.4% 81.8% 158 / 178 88.8% 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Light Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Rua L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med vs Smith L/AOpp accLight Heavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 605 / 1462 41.4% 40.4% 835 / 1752 47.7% 40.4%
In the clinch 148 / 225 65.8% 68.7% 117 / 170 68.8% 68.7%
On the ground 164 / 233 70.4% 70.4% 395 / 500 79.0% 70.4%
BY TARGET
To the head 616 / 1529 40.3% 37.5% 810 / 1762 46.0% 37.5%
To the body 206 / 263 78.3% 72.3% 210 / 294 71.4% 72.3%
To the legs 95 / 128 74.2% 83.0% 327 / 366 89.3% 83.0%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2742.9% acc · 1.53/15 · norm 0.87
Takedowns landed
822.9% acc · 0.46/15 · norm 0.87
3147.7% def · norm 66.7%
Takedowns stopped
2450.0% def · norm 66.7%
61:3423.2% of cage time · norm 16.5%
Control time
16:236.3% of cage time · norm 16.5%
49:342:48 per 15 · norm 2:48
Time under control
82:234:45 per 15 · norm 2:48
40.23/15 · norm 0.27
Submission attempts
80.46/15 · norm 0.27

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Smith has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.