BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Matt Serra vs.
Yves Edwards

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

7-7-0 Matt Serra · UFC
10-10-0 (1 NC) Yves Edwards · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

7-7-0
UFC record
10-10-0 (1 NC)
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
52
AgeΔ 3 yrs
49
5'6"
HeightΔ 3"
5'9"
68"
ReachΔ 5"
73"
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
190.4
Layoff (months)Δ 49.9 mo
140.5
LWLLW
Last 5 (newest first)
LLNCLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Yves Edwards carries real power — 0.59 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Matt Serra is a submission threat — 0.89 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Matt Serra owns the mat — in control 34% of cage time, vs a 18% Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Matt Serra

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 77
Tier 3 — regional circuit 40

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.94 · 7 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Yves Edwards

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1110
Tier 3 — regional circuit 3112

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.64 · 11 tier-1/2 wins · 33 finish wins over 66 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3331.98/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
5612.75/min · norm 3.42
4442.64/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
4842.37/min · norm 3.37
39.8%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
42.8%norm 43.5%
46.5%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
67.8%norm 56.3%
50.45/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
80.59/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matt Serra

Distance 73.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.0% (norm 8.1%)

Yves Edwards

Distance 78.4% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 10.4% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 11.2% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matt Serra

Head 75.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 8.4%)

Yves Edwards

Head 74.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.9% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 11.6% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Serra L/AAccWelterweight med Edwards L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 198 / 611 32.4% 38.6% 379 / 1029 36.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 59 / 84 70.2% 67.8% 94 / 136 69.1% 67.3%
On the ground 76 / 142 53.5% 67.2% 88 / 147 59.9% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 171 / 632 27.1% 37.2% 303 / 977 31.0% 35.0%
To the body 112 / 147 76.2% 70.7% 124 / 183 67.8% 69.1%
To the legs 50 / 58 86.2% 82.9% 134 / 152 88.2% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Serra L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Edwards L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 255 / 562 45.4% 39.0% 326 / 1254 26.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 91 / 111 82.0% 68.9% 88 / 142 62.0% 68.6%
On the ground 98 / 157 62.4% 68.0% 70 / 109 64.2% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 286 / 658 43.5% 35.6% 265 / 1175 22.6% 35.1%
To the body 125 / 134 93.3% 69.6% 125 / 202 61.9% 68.1%
To the legs 33 / 38 86.8% 82.1% 94 / 128 73.4% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

2320.9% acc · 2.05/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
640.0% acc · 0.44/15 · norm 1.38
1238.7% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
6971.9% def · norm 64.0%
57:3434.2% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
39:4419.4% of cage time · norm 19.5%
35:183:08 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
49:083:36 per 15 · norm 2:46
100.89/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
100.73/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Edwards has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.