Matt Serra vs.
Chris Lytle
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Matt Serra
Full career not yet synced for Matt Serra — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 1-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500
Chris Lytle
Full career not yet synced for Chris Lytle — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 4-6 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.4 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Matt Serra
Distance 73.0% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 10.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 17.0% (norm 8.1%)
Chris Lytle
Distance 84.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 13.0% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 2.2% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Matt Serra
Head 75.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.6% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 8.4%)
Chris Lytle
Head 78.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 17.3% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.6% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Serra L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Lytle L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 198 / 611 | 32.4% | 38.6% | 628 / 1574 | 39.9% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 59 / 84 | 70.2% | 67.8% | 164 / 242 | 67.8% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 76 / 142 | 53.5% | 67.2% | 26 / 41 | 63.4% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 171 / 632 | 27.1% | 37.2% | 504 / 1451 | 34.7% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 112 / 147 | 76.2% | 70.7% | 246 / 321 | 76.6% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 50 / 58 | 86.2% | 82.9% | 68 / 85 | 80.0% | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Serra L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Lytle L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 255 / 562 | 45.4% | 39.0% | 450 / 1239 | 36.3% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 91 / 111 | 82.0% | 68.9% | 123 / 196 | 62.8% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 98 / 157 | 62.4% | 68.0% | 114 / 202 | 56.4% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 286 / 658 | 43.5% | 35.6% | 407 / 1280 | 31.8% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 125 / 134 | 93.3% | 69.6% | 170 / 226 | 75.2% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 33 / 38 | 86.8% | 82.1% | 110 / 131 | 84.0% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Lytle has more cage time on record.