BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Matt Mitrione vs.
Gabriel Gonzaga

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

9-5-0 Matt Mitrione · UFC
12-10-0 Gabriel Gonzaga · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

9-5-0
UFC record
12-10-0
Heavyweight
Division (benchmark)
Heavyweight
48.1
AgeΔ 0.9 yrs
47.2
6'3"
HeightΔ 1"
6'2"
82"
ReachΔ 6"
76"
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
126.6
Layoff (months)Δ 2.7 mo
123.9
LLWWW
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLLL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Gabriel Gonzaga is a submission threat — 1.20 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Matt Mitrione carries real power — 1.53 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.28 Heavyweight norm.
Matt Mitrione is a submission threat — 0.68 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.16 Heavyweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Matt Mitrione

Full career not yet synced for Matt Mitrione — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 5-5 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.6 wins over .500

Gabriel Gonzaga

Full career not yet synced for Gabriel Gonzaga — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 4-8 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.1 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3133.55/min · norm 3.36
Sig. strikes landed
2932.13/min · norm 3.36
2462.79/min · norm 3.19
Sig. strikes absorbed
3712.70/min · norm 3.19
50.1%norm 47.8%
Striking accuracy
45.1%norm 47.8%
64.6%norm 52.5%
Striking defense
59.1%norm 52.5%
91.53/15 · norm 0.28
Knockdowns
70.76/15 · norm 0.28

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matt Mitrione

Distance 82.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 8.5% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 8.8% (norm 9.3%)

Gabriel Gonzaga

Distance 67.7% (norm 79.5%) · Clinch 9.8% (norm 9.8%) · Ground 22.5% (norm 9.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matt Mitrione

Head 83.5% (norm 79.2%) · Body 5.9% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 10.6% (norm 7.6%)

Gabriel Gonzaga

Head 78.0% (norm 79.2%) · Body 9.2% (norm 11.5%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 7.6%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Mitrione L/AAccHeavyweight med Gonzaga L/AAccHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 235 / 517 45.5% 40.1% 156 / 440 35.5% 40.1%
In the clinch 30 / 53 56.6% 70.6% 43 / 64 67.2% 70.6%
On the ground 48 / 55 87.3% 70.2% 94 / 146 64.4% 70.2%
BY TARGET
To the head 225 / 522 43.1% 38.9% 186 / 507 36.7% 38.9%
To the body 28 / 37 75.7% 76.8% 42 / 60 70.0% 76.8%
To the legs 60 / 66 90.9% 87.8% 65 / 83 78.3% 87.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Heavyweight: 93 fighters · Heavyweight: 93 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Mitrione L/AOpp accHeavyweight med vs Gonzaga L/AOpp accHeavyweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 162 / 580 27.9% 40.7% 189 / 643 29.4% 40.7%
In the clinch 33 / 45 73.3% 70.6% 92 / 130 70.8% 70.6%
On the ground 51 / 70 72.9% 72.0% 90 / 133 67.7% 72.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 163 / 560 29.1% 38.8% 310 / 820 37.8% 38.8%
To the body 45 / 83 54.2% 75.1% 33 / 50 66.0% 75.1%
To the legs 38 / 52 73.1% 84.4% 28 / 36 77.8% 84.4%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 0.95
Takedowns landed
2438.1% acc · 2.62/15 · norm 0.95
1655.2% def · norm 64.3%
Takedowns stopped
1275.0% def · norm 64.3%
6:267.3% of cage time · norm 17.2%
Control time
37:1027.0% of cage time · norm 17.2%
24:034:05 per 15 · norm 2:28
Time under control
16:541:50 per 15 · norm 2:28
40.68/15 · norm 0.16
Submission attempts
111.20/15 · norm 0.16

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Gonzaga has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.