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Matt Grice vs. Jason Black

UFC 2-5-0 vs. 0-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
2-5-0
UFC record
0-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
45
AgeΔ 9 yrs
54
5'8"
HeightΔ 0"
5'8"
70"
Reach
—
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
163.8
Layoff (months)Δ 64.2 mo
228
LWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Jason Black is a submission threat — 5.92 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.48 Lightweight norm.
Matt Grice carries real power — 0.73 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Matt Grice owns the mat — in control 50% of cage time, vs a 19% Lightweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Matt Grice

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 25
Tier 3 — regional circuit 130

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.81 · 2 tier-1/2 wins · 10 finish wins over 20 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Jason Black

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 02
Tier 3 — regional circuit 232

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.87 · 0 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 28 documented bouts

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2524.09/min · norm 3.44
Sig. strikes landed
100.44/min · norm 3.44
1662.69/min · norm 3.38
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
552.41/min · norm 3.38
53.4%norm 43.65%
Striking accuracy
41.7%norm 43.65%
56.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
39.6%norm 56.3%
30.73/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matt Grice

Distance 36.7% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 21.2% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 42.2% (norm 8.0%)

Jason Black

Distance 58.3% (norm 83.1%) · Clinch 16.7% (norm 7.3%) · Ground 25.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matt Grice

Head 83.5% (norm 78.0%) · Body 9.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 8.0%)

Jason Black

Head 79.2% (norm 78.0%) · Body 20.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Grice L/AAccLightweight med Black L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 68 / 173 39.3% 38.3% 2 / 14 too few to rate 38.3%
In the clinch 59 / 100 59.0% 67.5% 3 / 4 too few to rate 67.5%
On the ground 125 / 199 62.8% 68.8% 5 / 6 too few to rate 68.8%
BY TARGET
To the head 196 / 394 49.7% 35.1% 7 / 19 too few to rate 35.1%
To the body 33 / 44 75.0% 69.1% 3 / 5 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 23 / 34 67.6% 81.8% 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.8%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 204 fighters · Lightweight: 204 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Grice L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Black L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 67 / 231 29.0% 38.8% 10 / 19 too few to rate 38.8%
In the clinch 49 / 80 61.2% 68.6% 5 / 5 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 50 / 67 74.6% 68.0% 40 / 67 59.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 120 / 307 39.1% 35.2% 48 / 83 57.8% 35.2%
To the body 23 / 40 57.5% 68.2% 7 / 7 too few to rate 68.2%
To the legs 23 / 31 74.2% 81.5% 0 / 1 too few to rate 81.5%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
937.5% acc · 2.19/15 · norm 1.34
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.34
1482.4% def · norm 63.7%
Takedowns stopped
228.6% def · norm 63.7%
30:3949.7% of cage time · norm 18.95%
Control time
2:069.2% of cage time · norm 18.95%
10:552:39 per 15 · norm 2:50
Time under control lower is better
17:4611:40 per 15 · norm 2:50
20.49/15 · norm 0.48
Submission attempts
95.92/15 · norm 0.48

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Grice has more cage time on record.