BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Matt Grice vs.
Jason Black

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

2-5-0 Matt Grice · UFC
0-2-0 Jason Black · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

2-5-0
UFC record
0-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
45
AgeΔ 9.1 yrs
54.1
5'8"
HeightΔ 0"
5'8"
70"
Reach
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
161.4
Layoff (months)Δ 64.1 mo
225.5
LWLLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LL
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Jason Black is a submission threat — 5.92 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.49 Lightweight norm.
Matt Grice carries real power — 0.73 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Matt Grice owns the mat — in control 50% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Matt Grice

Full career not yet synced for Matt Grice — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.3 wins over .500

Jason Black

Full career not yet synced for Jason Black — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

2524.09/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
100.44/min · norm 3.42
1662.69/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
552.41/min · norm 3.37
53.4%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
41.7%norm 43.5%
56.1%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
39.6%norm 56.3%
30.73/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matt Grice

Distance 36.7% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 21.2% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 42.2% (norm 8.0%)

Jason Black

Distance 58.3% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 16.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 25.0% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matt Grice

Head 83.5% (norm 78.2%) · Body 9.3% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 7.9%)

Jason Black

Head 79.2% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.8% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 0.0% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Grice L/AAccLightweight med Black L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 68 / 173 39.3% 37.9% 2 / 14 too few to rate 37.9%
In the clinch 59 / 100 59.0% 67.3% 3 / 4 too few to rate 67.3%
On the ground 125 / 199 62.8% 69.1% 5 / 6 too few to rate 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 196 / 394 49.7% 35.0% 7 / 19 too few to rate 35.0%
To the body 33 / 44 75.0% 69.1% 3 / 5 too few to rate 69.1%
To the legs 23 / 34 67.6% 81.9% 0 / 0 too few to rate 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Grice L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Black L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 67 / 231 29.0% 38.9% 10 / 19 too few to rate 38.9%
In the clinch 49 / 80 61.2% 68.6% 5 / 5 too few to rate 68.6%
On the ground 50 / 67 74.6% 68.0% 40 / 67 59.7% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 120 / 307 39.1% 35.1% 48 / 83 57.8% 35.1%
To the body 23 / 40 57.5% 68.1% 7 / 7 too few to rate 68.1%
To the legs 23 / 31 74.2% 81.5% 0 / 1 too few to rate 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

937.5% acc · 2.19/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
00.0% acc · 0.00/15 · norm 1.38
1482.4% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
228.6% def · norm 64.0%
30:3949.7% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
2:069.2% of cage time · norm 19.5%
10:552:39 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
17:4611:40 per 15 · norm 2:46
20.49/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
95.92/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Grice has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.