BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Matt Frevola vs.
Arman Tsarukyan

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

5-6-1 Matt Frevola · UFC
10-2-0 Arman Tsarukyan · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

5-6-1
UFC record
10-2-0
Lightweight
Division (benchmark)
Lightweight
36.2
AgeΔ 6.4 yrs
29.8
5'9"
HeightΔ 2"
5'7"
71"
ReachΔ 1"
72"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
9.6
Layoff (months)Δ 1.2 mo
8.4
LLLWW
Last 5 (newest first)
WWWWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Matt Frevola carries real power — 0.90 knockdowns per 15 minutes, vs a 0.25 Lightweight norm.
Arman Tsarukyan hunts takedowns — 3.26 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.38 Lightweight norm.
Arman Tsarukyan owns the mat — in control 42% of cage time, vs a 20% Lightweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Matt Frevola

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 66
Tier 3 — regional circuit 50

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.88 · 6 tier-1/2 wins · 7 finish wins over 18 documented bouts

In the UFC: 3-4 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.2 wins over .500

Arman Tsarukyan

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 102
Tier 3 — regional circuit 131

Tier-weighted record quality: 1.54 · 10 tier-1/2 wins · 15 finish wins over 26 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-2 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +4.4 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

3403.38/min · norm 3.42
Sig. strikes landed
5673.85/min · norm 3.42
3923.90/min · norm 3.37
Sig. strikes absorbed
2651.80/min · norm 3.37
39.7%norm 43.5%
Striking accuracy
50.0%norm 43.5%
56.7%norm 56.3%
Striking defense
54.9%norm 56.3%
60.90/15 · norm 0.25
Knockdowns
30.31/15 · norm 0.25

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matt Frevola

Distance 82.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 7.7% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 9.8% (norm 8.0%)

Arman Tsarukyan

Distance 75.5% (norm 82.8%) · Clinch 5.1% (norm 7.6%) · Ground 19.4% (norm 8.0%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matt Frevola

Head 78.1% (norm 78.2%) · Body 15.1% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 7.9%)

Arman Tsarukyan

Head 78.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 14.7% (norm 12.8%) · Legs 6.9% (norm 7.9%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Frevola L/AAccLightweight med Tsarukyan L/AAccLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 238 / 707 33.7% 37.9% 349 / 855 40.8% 37.9%
In the clinch 38 / 66 57.6% 67.3% 42 / 58 72.4% 67.3%
On the ground 64 / 84 76.2% 69.1% 176 / 220 80.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 225 / 669 33.6% 35.0% 376 / 888 42.3% 35.0%
To the body 65 / 129 50.4% 69.1% 124 / 167 74.3% 69.1%
To the legs 50 / 59 84.7% 81.9% 67 / 78 85.9% 81.9%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Lightweight: 201 fighters · Lightweight: 201 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Frevola L/AOpp accLightweight med vs Tsarukyan L/AOpp accLightweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 319 / 782 40.8% 38.9% 192 / 492 39.0% 38.9%
In the clinch 35 / 68 51.5% 68.6% 51 / 64 79.7% 68.6%
On the ground 38 / 56 67.9% 68.0% 22 / 31 71.0% 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 276 / 744 37.1% 35.1% 165 / 442 37.3% 35.1%
To the body 82 / 123 66.7% 68.1% 77 / 114 67.5% 68.1%
To the legs 34 / 39 87.2% 81.5% 23 / 31 74.2% 81.5%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

1540.5% acc · 2.24/15 · norm 1.38
Takedowns landed
3237.6% acc · 3.26/15 · norm 1.38
1137.9% def · norm 64.0%
Takedowns stopped
3075.0% def · norm 64.0%
15:0515.0% of cage time · norm 19.5%
Control time
62:1942.3% of cage time · norm 19.5%
19:192:52 per 15 · norm 2:46
Time under control
16:031:38 per 15 · norm 2:46
40.60/15 · norm 0.49
Submission attempts
10.10/15 · norm 0.49

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Frevola has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.