Matt Dwyer vs.
William Macario
Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.
The men, measured.
Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.
What the numbers say.
Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.
Who did they actually beat?
Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.
Matt Dwyer
Full career not yet synced for Matt Dwyer — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
William Macario
Full career not yet synced for William Macario — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).
In the UFC: 0-1 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +0.0 wins over .500
The stand-up battle.
Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.
Significant strikes — landed & absorbed
Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)
Matt Dwyer
Distance 84.8% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 11.3% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 3.9% (norm 8.1%)
William Macario
Distance 76.6% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 15.7% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 7.7% (norm 8.1%)
What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)
Matt Dwyer
Head 74.3% (norm 78.2%) · Body 12.8% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 12.8% (norm 8.4%)
William Macario
Head 74.7% (norm 78.2%) · Body 13.5% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 11.8% (norm 8.4%)
Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone
Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.
| Zone | Dwyer L/A | Acc | Welterweight med | Macario L/A | Acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 65 / 218 | 29.8% | 38.6% | 139 / 279 | 49.8% | 38.6% |
| In the clinch | 18 / 29 | 62.1% | 67.8% | 47 / 57 | 82.5% | 67.8% |
| On the ground | 5 / 10 | too few to rate | 67.2% | 14 / 28 | 50.0% | 67.2% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 49 / 191 | 25.7% | 37.2% | 126 / 272 | 46.3% | 37.2% |
| To the body | 13 / 33 | 39.4% | 70.7% | 35 / 49 | 71.4% | 70.7% |
| To the legs | 26 / 33 | 78.8% | 82.9% | 39 / 43 | 90.7% | 82.9% |
Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Welterweight: 182 fighters).
What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man
Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.
| Zone | vs Dwyer L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med | vs Macario L/A | Opp acc | Welterweight med |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BY POSITION | ||||||
| At distance | 69 / 178 | 38.8% | 39.0% | 102 / 372 | 27.4% | 39.0% |
| In the clinch | 30 / 44 | 68.2% | 68.9% | 19 / 36 | 52.8% | 68.9% |
| On the ground | 12 / 22 | too few to rate | 68.0% | 40 / 61 | 65.6% | 68.0% |
| BY TARGET | ||||||
| To the head | 67 / 178 | 37.6% | 35.6% | 127 / 413 | 30.8% | 35.6% |
| To the body | 21 / 32 | 65.6% | 69.6% | 17 / 29 | 58.6% | 69.6% |
| To the legs | 23 / 34 | 67.6% | 82.1% | 17 / 27 | 63.0% | 82.1% |
The ground war.
Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.
Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Dwyer has more cage time on record.