BOUTSCOUT
Matchup deep-dive

Matt Brown vs.
Ricardo Almeida

Two full careers, measured against each man's own division and against each other — the tape, the read, and every number behind them.

17-13-0 Matt Brown · UFC
6-5-0 Ricardo Almeida · UFC
Tale of the tape

The men, measured.

Frame, age, layoff and recent form — green marks the edge on each line.

17-13-0
UFC record
6-5-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Middleweight
45
AgeΔ 4 yrs
49
6'0"
HeightΔ 0"
6'0"
75"
ReachΔ 1"
74"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
38.8
Layoff (months)Δ 145.8 mo
184.6
WLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
LWLWW
The read

What the numbers say.

Scouting notes, auto-generated — only stats deviating more than 25% from the division median make this list. No narratives, just deviations.

Ricardo Almeida is a submission threat — 1.46 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.47 Middleweight norm.
Ricardo Almeida hunts takedowns — 4.23 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.42 Middleweight norm.
Matt Brown is a submission threat — 1.30 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.45 Welterweight norm.
Level of competition

Who did they actually beat?

Full-career records re-graded by the tier of opposition — the same grading the Contender Series pick model uses. Records built on tier-4 competition are worth less than records built on killers.

Matt Brown

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1713
Tier 3 — regional circuit 76

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.73 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 43 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Ricardo Almeida

Full career not yet synced for Ricardo Almeida — tier grading appears once their record documentation lands (refreshes weekly).

In the UFC: 3-3 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +1.7 wins over .500

Striking

The stand-up battle.

Career totals; norms are the medians of each man's own division.

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10393.76/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
2552.25/min · norm 3.25
8082.92/min · norm 3.06
Sig. strikes absorbed
1541.36/min · norm 3.20
55.4%norm 44.9%
Striking accuracy
53.3%norm 47.4%
55.1%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
58.9%norm 53.8%
110.60/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
00.00/15 · norm 0.32

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matt Brown

Distance 69.4% (norm 81.2%) · Clinch 17.9% (norm 9.4%) · Ground 12.6% (norm 8.1%)

Ricardo Almeida

Distance 54.6% (norm 79.4%) · Clinch 11.5% (norm 9.1%) · Ground 33.9% (norm 10.3%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matt Brown

Head 72.4% (norm 78.2%) · Body 20.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 8.4%)

Ricardo Almeida

Head 74.9% (norm 78.0%) · Body 15.7% (norm 13.4%) · Legs 9.4% (norm 8.4%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Brown L/AAccWelterweight med Almeida L/AAccMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 586 / 1301 45.0% 38.6% 116 / 261 44.4% 40.5%
In the clinch 276 / 336 82.1% 67.8% 37 / 55 67.3% 70.3%
On the ground 177 / 237 74.7% 67.2% 102 / 162 63.0% 69.1%
BY TARGET
To the head 631 / 1356 46.5% 37.2% 156 / 358 43.6% 38.9%
To the body 310 / 383 80.9% 70.7% 64 / 75 85.3% 71.7%
To the legs 98 / 135 72.6% 82.9% 35 / 45 77.8% 83.3%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 182 fighters · Middleweight: 174 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Brown L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Almeida L/AOpp accMiddleweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 564 / 1438 39.2% 39.0% 68 / 238 28.6% 39.5%
In the clinch 108 / 173 62.4% 68.9% 59 / 85 69.4% 70.9%
On the ground 136 / 189 72.0% 68.0% 27 / 52 51.9% 69.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 564 / 1471 38.3% 35.6% 67 / 272 24.6% 37.9%
To the body 123 / 182 67.6% 69.6% 47 / 54 87.0% 71.3%
To the legs 121 / 147 82.3% 82.1% 40 / 49 81.6% 82.1%
Grappling

The ground war.

Takedowns, control and submissions — career totals with each man's per-minute rates against his division norm.

3147.0% acc · 1.68/15 · norm 1.27
Takedowns landed
3238.1% acc · 4.23/15 · norm 1.42
7663.9% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
538.5% def · norm 63.1%
59:1821.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
53:2047.1% of cage time · norm 19.75%
93:515:05 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control
22:252:57 per 15 · norm 3:00
241.30/15 · norm 0.45
Submission attempts
111.46/15 · norm 0.47

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Brown has more cage time on record.

Next move

Let the engine settle it.