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Matt Brown vs. Brian Foster

UFC 17-13-0 vs. 3-2-0

Tale of the tape

Green = edge on that line
17-13-0
UFC record
3-2-0
Welterweight
Division (benchmark)
Welterweight
45
AgeΔ 3 yrs
42
6'0"
HeightΔ 3"
5'9"
75"
ReachΔ 4"
71"
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
41.3
Layoff (months)Δ 149.7 mo
191
WLWLL
Last 5 (newest first)
WWLWL

The read

Stats 25%+ off the division median
Brian Foster is a submission threat — 1.83 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Matt Brown is a submission threat — 1.30 attempts per 15 minutes, vs a 0.44 Welterweight norm.
Brian Foster hunts takedowns — 3.67 per 15 minutes, vs a 1.31 Welterweight norm.

Level of competition

Full-career record by tier of opposition

Matt Brown

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 1713
Tier 3 — regional circuit 76

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.73 · 17 tier-1/2 wins · 22 finish wins over 43 documented bouts

In the UFC: 10-9 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record +2.0 wins over .500

Brian Foster

Competition tierWL
Tier 1 — UFC / DWCS / PFL / Bellator / ONE / Rizin 43
Tier 2 — LFA / Cage Warriors (feeder belts) 10
Tier 3 — regional circuit 249

Tier-weighted record quality: 0.62 · 5 tier-1/2 wins · 28 finish wins over 41 documented bouts

In the UFC: 2-0 against opponents who walked in above .500 · avg opponent walk-in record -0.8 wins over .500

Striking

Career totals · norms = own-division medians

Significant strikes — landed & absorbed

10393.76/min · norm 3.17
Sig. strikes landed
813.30/min · norm 3.17
8082.92/min · norm 3.08
Sig. strikes absorbed lower is better
401.63/min · norm 3.08
55.4%norm 44.75%
Striking accuracy
39.9%norm 44.75%
55.1%norm 55.25%
Striking defense
65.2%norm 55.25%
110.60/15 · norm 0.38
Knockdowns
10.61/15 · norm 0.38

Where the fight happens (share of sig. strike attempts)

Matt Brown

Distance 69.4% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 17.9% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 12.6% (norm 8.1%)

Brian Foster

Distance 56.2% (norm 80.7%) · Clinch 5.4% (norm 9.6%) · Ground 38.4% (norm 8.1%)

What they throw (share of sig. strike attempts by target)

Matt Brown

Head 72.4% (norm 78.3%) · Body 20.4% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 7.2% (norm 8.0%)

Brian Foster

Head 86.7% (norm 78.3%) · Body 8.9% (norm 12.4%) · Legs 4.4% (norm 8.0%)

Zone accuracy matrix Landed / attempted by zone

Green ≥ division median, red below. UFCStats tracks position and target as separate splits.

Zone Brown L/AAccWelterweight med Foster L/AAccWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 586 / 1301 45.0% 38.5% 33 / 114 28.9% 38.5%
In the clinch 276 / 336 82.1% 67.8% 5 / 11 too few to rate 67.8%
On the ground 177 / 237 74.7% 67.0% 43 / 78 55.1% 67.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 631 / 1356 46.5% 36.4% 61 / 176 34.7% 36.4%
To the body 310 / 383 80.9% 70.7% 14 / 18 too few to rate 70.7%
To the legs 98 / 135 72.6% 83.0% 6 / 9 too few to rate 83.0%

Zones with fewer than 25 attempts are marked "too few to rate". Each fighter is measured against the median of leaderboard-eligible fighters in his own division (Welterweight: 180 fighters · Welterweight: 180 fighters).

What lands on them Opponents' accuracy against each man

Green ≤ division median — harder to hit than the typical man in his division.

Zone vs Brown L/AOpp accWelterweight med vs Foster L/AOpp accWelterweight med
BY POSITION
At distance 564 / 1438 39.2% 39.1% 22 / 88 25.0% 39.1%
In the clinch 108 / 173 62.4% 68.9% 6 / 8 too few to rate 68.9%
On the ground 136 / 189 72.0% 68.0% 12 / 19 too few to rate 68.0%
BY TARGET
To the head 564 / 1471 38.3% 35.6% 25 / 93 26.9% 35.6%
To the body 123 / 182 67.6% 69.6% 8 / 12 too few to rate 69.6%
To the legs 121 / 147 82.3% 82.2% 7 / 10 too few to rate 82.2%

Grappling

Takedowns, control, submissions vs. division norm
3147.0% acc · 1.68/15 · norm 1.31
Takedowns landed
660.0% acc · 3.67/15 · norm 1.31
7663.9% def · norm 63.9%
Takedowns stopped
337.5% def · norm 63.9%
59:1821.4% of cage time · norm 18.5%
Control time
6:4627.6% of cage time · norm 18.5%
93:515:05 per 15 · norm 3:15
Time under control lower is better
7:114:23 per 15 · norm 3:15
241.30/15 · norm 0.44
Submission attempts
31.83/15 · norm 0.44

Bars compare the two men's rates (per-minute / per-15 figures), not raw totals — Brown has more cage time on record.